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PROGRESSION SURVIVAL AUDIT · PLYS160

Parlay 3-Hand Compounding Press — 160-Hand Two-Shoe Session (50u Bankroll) Survival & Ruin Proof

[PLYS160] Reinvests original stake plus net payout across three consecutive Banker wins before banking the compounded stack. Across 160-Hand Two-Shoe Session (50u Bankroll) (Back-to-back two-shoe floor session testing progression endurance under a 50-unit stop-loss), staking Parlay Press on Banker (1.0579% house edge) generates 257.6 units of cumulative action, an expected mathematical cost of −2.73 units, ±18.89 units of standard deviation, and a 86.9% session survival rate (13.1% bankroll ruin risk).

PLYS160 Action
257.6u
PLYS160 Expected EV
-2.73u
PLYS160 Session SD
±18.89u
PLYS160 Survival
86.9%
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B P P B P P B B B P B P B B P P
Big Eye Boy ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ =
Small Road = = = = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠

PLYS160 (Parlay Press · 160H / 50u) scoreboard sample. Derived-road red/blue marks never alter PLYS160 progression expectation.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

PLYS160 Staking Sequence
1-2-4-reset

Reinvests original stake plus net payout across three consecutive Banker wins before banking the compounded stack (Full-Reinvestment Press).

PLYS160 Cumulative Action
257.6u wagered

160 hands × 1.61u average stake multiplier.

PLYS160 Expected Cost (EV)
-2.73u

Linear expectation across 257.6u action at 1.0579% Banker edge.

PLYS160 Session Dispersion
±18.89u SD

Volatility envelope over 160 deals against a 50u bankroll.

PLYS160 Survival / Ruin Split
86.9% / 13.1%

Keeps out-of-pocket exposure at 1u per attempt while absorbing 5% Banker commission across each compounded press stage.

PLYS160 STOCHASTIC HORIZON

Parlay Press (PLYS160) Over 160 Hands With a 50-Unit Bankroll

[PLYS160-MECHANICS] Staking protocol PLYS160 applies Parlay 3-Hand Compounding Press (1-2-4-reset) on Banker across 160 hands with a 50-unit stop-loss. Reinvests original stake plus net payout across three consecutive Banker wins before banking the compounded stack. Back-to-back two-shoe floor session testing progression endurance under a 50-unit stop-loss.

[PLYS160-EXPECTATION] By linearity of expectation, PLYS160 cannot alter the 8-deck 1.0579% Banker house edge: multiplying 257.6u cumulative action by −1.0579% locks in −2.73u expected drift with ±18.89u standard deviation. Keeps out-of-pocket exposure at 1u per attempt while absorbing 5% Banker commission across each compounded press stage. Remember that baccarat is an 18+ / 21+ game of chance; review /legal/responsible-gambling before setting session limits.

PLYS160 CheckpointPLYS160 HandsPLYS160 ActionPLYS160 EV DriftPLYS160 SD Band
PLYS160-Stage-132h [PLYS160]51.5u [PLYS160]-0.55u [PLYS160]±8.45u [PLYS160]
PLYS160-Stage-264h [PLYS160]103.0u [PLYS160]-1.09u [PLYS160]±11.94u [PLYS160]
PLYS160-Stage-396h [PLYS160]154.6u [PLYS160]-1.64u [PLYS160]±14.63u [PLYS160]
PLYS160-Stage-4128h [PLYS160]206.1u [PLYS160]-2.18u [PLYS160]±16.89u [PLYS160]
PLYS160-Stage-5160h [PLYS160]257.6u [PLYS160]-2.73u [PLYS160]±18.89u [PLYS160]
  • PLYS160 step sequence: 1-2-4-reset (1.61u mean bet size across 160 hands).
  • PLYS160 bankroll boundary: 50u starting stack faces 13.1% ruin risk and 86.9% survival probability.
  • PLYS160 road independence: Big Eye Boy and Small Road patterns on PPBPPBPP never change the −2.73u expected house hold.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythRunning Parlay Press over 160 hands with 50 units changes the mathematical expectation of the shoe.
TruthEvery hand in PLYS160 faces the same 1.0579% Banker house edge; scaling bet sizes to 257.6u total action scales expected cost to −2.73u while reshaping variance (±18.89u SD).
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android