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COMBINATORIAL REFERENCE · EXACT ENUMERATION

Baccarat Combinatorial Math Hub: Exact 1–8 Deck & Rule Proofs

Every probability on this hub is enumerated directly through the locked six-card hand resolver without Monte Carlo approximation. Across a standard 8-deck shoe (416 cards), Banker wins 45.8597%, Player wins 44.6247%, and Ties occur 9.5156%, establishing a 1.0579% Banker house edge under 5% commission and 1.2351% on Player.

8D Banker Edge (5%)
1.058%
8D Player Edge (1:1)
1.235%
8D Tie Edge (8:1)
14.36%
8D Natural Rate
34.30%
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P P B B P B B P B P
Big Eye Boy = = = = = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ =
Small Road = = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = =

Scoreboard recording past outcomes; derived roads track structural symmetry and never alter combinatorial deck odds.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

8-Deck Six-Card Deals
4,998,398,275,503,360

Exact ordered six-card permutations evaluated in a 416-card shoe.

8-Deck Banker Win Rate
45.8597%

50.6832% of resolved non-tie decisions go to Banker.

8-Deck Player Win Rate
44.6247%

49.3168% of resolved non-tie decisions go to Player.

8-Deck Tie Frequency
9.5156%

Produces a 14.3596% house edge at 8:1 and 4.8440% at 9:1.

Either-Side Natural Rate
34.3049%

Hands settled immediately on the initial four cards via Natural 8 or 9.

EXACT DECK ENUMERATION

1-Deck Through 8-Deck Finite Shoe Combinatorial Matrix

Finite baccarat shoes deal without replacement from ten distinct rank classes: one 0-value class (10, J, Q, K with 16 cards per deck) and nine pip classes (Ace through 9 with 4 cards per deck). Because each drawn card alters the remaining denominator from N down to N−5, exact probabilities shift measurably between 1-deck (52 cards) and 8-deck (416 cards) games.

As deck count increases from 1 to 8, Banker's 5%-commission house edge rises from 1.0110% to 1.0579% while the 8-to-1 Tie house edge drops from 15.7484% to 14.3596%. Player's house edge simultaneously compresses from 1.2868% in single-deck play to 1.2351% in an eight-deck shoe.

Shoe ModelTotal CardsBanker WinPlayer WinTie RateBanker Edge (5%)
1-Deck Shoe52 cards45.9624%44.6760%9.3615%1.0117%
2-Deck Shoe104 cards45.9073%44.6508%9.4419%1.0389%
3-Deck Shoe156 cards45.8868%44.6399%9.4733%1.0475%
4-Deck Shoe208 cards45.8761%44.6340%9.4898%1.0517%
5-Deck Shoe260 cards45.8697%44.6304%9.5000%1.0542%
6-Deck Shoe312 cards45.8653%44.6279%9.5069%1.0558%
7-Deck Shoe364 cards45.8621%44.6260%9.5118%1.0570%
8-Deck Shoe416 cards45.8597%44.6247%9.5156%1.0579%
  • Every deck model is enumerated exactly using BigInt combinatorial weights over all 10^6 value sequences.
  • Derived-road red and blue marks describe Big Road column symmetry and have zero influence on next-hand probabilities.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythSix-deck and eight-deck baccarat shoes have identical probabilities down to the fourth decimal place.
TruthA 6-deck shoe (312 cards) carries a 1.0558% Banker house edge and 14.4427% Tie edge, whereas an 8-deck shoe (416 cards) carries a 1.0579% Banker edge and 14.3596% Tie edge.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android