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PROGRESSION SURVIVAL AUDIT · PLYS80

Parlay 3-Hand Compounding Press — 80-Hand Single Shoe (40u Bankroll) Survival & Ruin Proof

[PLYS80] Reinvests original stake plus net payout across three consecutive Banker wins before banking the compounded stack. Across 80-Hand Single Shoe (40u Bankroll) (Complete 8-deck live shoe from burn card to cut card backed by a 40-unit session stack), staking Parlay Press on Banker (1.0579% house edge) generates 128.8 units of cumulative action, an expected mathematical cost of −1.36 units, ±13.35 units of standard deviation, and a 89.4% session survival rate (10.6% bankroll ruin risk).

PLYS80 Action
128.8u
PLYS80 Expected EV
-1.36u
PLYS80 Session SD
±13.35u
PLYS80 Survival
89.4%
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B B P P P B B B P P P B B P B
Big Eye Boy = = = = = = ≠ = = = = = =
Small Road = = = = = = ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ =

PLYS80 (Parlay Press · 80H / 40u) scoreboard sample. Derived-road red/blue marks never alter PLYS80 progression expectation.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 has a bead at Row 3 too → red (=).

  1. Column 2 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 has a bead at Row 3 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 has a bead at Row 3 too → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 has a bead at Row 3 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 has a bead at Row 3 too → red (=).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 has a bead at Row 3 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

PLYS80 Staking Sequence
1-2-4-reset

Reinvests original stake plus net payout across three consecutive Banker wins before banking the compounded stack (Full-Reinvestment Press).

PLYS80 Cumulative Action
128.8u wagered

80 hands × 1.61u average stake multiplier.

PLYS80 Expected Cost (EV)
-1.36u

Linear expectation across 128.8u action at 1.0579% Banker edge.

PLYS80 Session Dispersion
±13.35u SD

Volatility envelope over 80 deals against a 40u bankroll.

PLYS80 Survival / Ruin Split
89.4% / 10.6%

Keeps out-of-pocket exposure at 1u per attempt while absorbing 5% Banker commission across each compounded press stage.

PLYS80 STOCHASTIC HORIZON

Parlay Press (PLYS80) Over 80 Hands With a 40-Unit Bankroll

[PLYS80-MECHANICS] Staking protocol PLYS80 applies Parlay 3-Hand Compounding Press (1-2-4-reset) on Banker across 80 hands with a 40-unit stop-loss. Reinvests original stake plus net payout across three consecutive Banker wins before banking the compounded stack. Complete 8-deck live shoe from burn card to cut card backed by a 40-unit session stack.

[PLYS80-EXPECTATION] By linearity of expectation, PLYS80 cannot alter the 8-deck 1.0579% Banker house edge: multiplying 128.8u cumulative action by −1.0579% locks in −1.36u expected drift with ±13.35u standard deviation. Keeps out-of-pocket exposure at 1u per attempt while absorbing 5% Banker commission across each compounded press stage. Remember that baccarat is an 18+ / 21+ game of chance; review /legal/responsible-gambling before setting session limits.

PLYS80 CheckpointPLYS80 HandsPLYS80 ActionPLYS80 EV DriftPLYS80 SD Band
PLYS80-Stage-116h [PLYS80]25.8u [PLYS80]-0.27u [PLYS80]±5.97u [PLYS80]
PLYS80-Stage-232h [PLYS80]51.5u [PLYS80]-0.55u [PLYS80]±8.45u [PLYS80]
PLYS80-Stage-348h [PLYS80]77.3u [PLYS80]-0.82u [PLYS80]±10.34u [PLYS80]
PLYS80-Stage-464h [PLYS80]103.0u [PLYS80]-1.09u [PLYS80]±11.94u [PLYS80]
PLYS80-Stage-580h [PLYS80]128.8u [PLYS80]-1.36u [PLYS80]±13.35u [PLYS80]
  • PLYS80 step sequence: 1-2-4-reset (1.61u mean bet size across 80 hands).
  • PLYS80 bankroll boundary: 40u starting stack faces 10.6% ruin risk and 89.4% survival probability.
  • PLYS80 road independence: Big Eye Boy and Small Road patterns on BBBPPPBB never change the −1.36u expected house hold.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythRunning Parlay Press over 80 hands with 40 units changes the mathematical expectation of the shoe.
TruthEvery hand in PLYS80 faces the same 1.0579% Banker house edge; scaling bet sizes to 128.8u total action scales expected cost to −1.36u while reshaping variance (±13.35u SD).
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android