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PROGRESSION SURVIVAL AUDIT · PLYS50

Parlay 3-Hand Compounding Press — 50-Hand Sprint (20u Bankroll) Survival & Ruin Proof

[PLYS50] Reinvests original stake plus net payout across three consecutive Banker wins before banking the compounded stack. Across 50-Hand Sprint (20u Bankroll) (Fast 45-minute mini-baccarat or two-thirds shoe sprint with a compact 20-unit buy-in), staking Parlay Press on Banker (1.0579% house edge) generates 80.5 units of cumulative action, an expected mathematical cost of −0.85 units, ±10.56 units of standard deviation, and a 84.3% session survival rate (15.7% bankroll ruin risk).

PLYS50 Action
80.5u
PLYS50 Expected EV
-0.85u
PLYS50 Session SD
±10.56u
PLYS50 Survival
84.3%
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P B P B P B P P B B P P B B P B P B
Big Eye Boy = = = = = ≠ ≠ = = = = = = ≠ = =
Small Road = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ =
Cockroach Pig = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠

PLYS50 (Parlay Press · 50H / 20u) scoreboard sample. Derived-road red/blue marks never alter PLYS50 progression expectation.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

PLYS50 Staking Sequence
1-2-4-reset

Reinvests original stake plus net payout across three consecutive Banker wins before banking the compounded stack (Full-Reinvestment Press).

PLYS50 Cumulative Action
80.5u wagered

50 hands × 1.61u average stake multiplier.

PLYS50 Expected Cost (EV)
-0.85u

Linear expectation across 80.5u action at 1.0579% Banker edge.

PLYS50 Session Dispersion
±10.56u SD

Volatility envelope over 50 deals against a 20u bankroll.

PLYS50 Survival / Ruin Split
84.3% / 15.7%

Keeps out-of-pocket exposure at 1u per attempt while absorbing 5% Banker commission across each compounded press stage.

PLYS50 STOCHASTIC HORIZON

Parlay Press (PLYS50) Over 50 Hands With a 20-Unit Bankroll

[PLYS50-MECHANICS] Staking protocol PLYS50 applies Parlay 3-Hand Compounding Press (1-2-4-reset) on Banker across 50 hands with a 20-unit stop-loss. Reinvests original stake plus net payout across three consecutive Banker wins before banking the compounded stack. Fast 45-minute mini-baccarat or two-thirds shoe sprint with a compact 20-unit buy-in.

[PLYS50-EXPECTATION] By linearity of expectation, PLYS50 cannot alter the 8-deck 1.0579% Banker house edge: multiplying 80.5u cumulative action by −1.0579% locks in −0.85u expected drift with ±10.56u standard deviation. Keeps out-of-pocket exposure at 1u per attempt while absorbing 5% Banker commission across each compounded press stage. Remember that baccarat is an 18+ / 21+ game of chance; review /legal/responsible-gambling before setting session limits.

PLYS50 CheckpointPLYS50 HandsPLYS50 ActionPLYS50 EV DriftPLYS50 SD Band
PLYS50-Stage-110h [PLYS50]16.1u [PLYS50]-0.17u [PLYS50]±4.72u [PLYS50]
PLYS50-Stage-220h [PLYS50]32.2u [PLYS50]-0.34u [PLYS50]±6.68u [PLYS50]
PLYS50-Stage-330h [PLYS50]48.3u [PLYS50]-0.51u [PLYS50]±8.18u [PLYS50]
PLYS50-Stage-440h [PLYS50]64.4u [PLYS50]-0.68u [PLYS50]±9.44u [PLYS50]
PLYS50-Stage-550h [PLYS50]80.5u [PLYS50]-0.85u [PLYS50]±10.56u [PLYS50]
  • PLYS50 step sequence: 1-2-4-reset (1.61u mean bet size across 50 hands).
  • PLYS50 bankroll boundary: 20u starting stack faces 15.7% ruin risk and 84.3% survival probability.
  • PLYS50 road independence: Big Eye Boy and Small Road patterns on PBPBPBPP never change the −0.85u expected house hold.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythRunning Parlay Press over 50 hands with 20 units changes the mathematical expectation of the shoe.
TruthEvery hand in PLYS50 faces the same 1.0579% Banker house edge; scaling bet sizes to 80.5u total action scales expected cost to −0.85u while reshaping variance (±10.56u SD).
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android