[CDLS250] Adds +1 unit after each winning decision and subtracts −1 unit (down to 1u floor) after each loss. Across 250-Hand Weekend Horizon (100u Bankroll) (Three-plus shoe weekend trip horizon backed by a full 100-unit session bankroll), staking Contra D'Alembert on Banker (1.0579% house edge) generates 445.0 units of cumulative action, an expected mathematical cost of −4.71 units, ±26.10 units of standard deviation, and a 88.6% session survival rate (11.4% bankroll ruin risk).
CDLS250 (Contra D'Alembert · 250H / 100u) scoreboard sample. Derived-road red/blue marks never alter CDLS250 progression expectation.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 has a bead at Row 3 too → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 has a bead at Row 3 too → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 4 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Adds +1 unit after each winning decision and subtracts −1 unit (down to 1u floor) after each loss (Arithmetic Positive Progression).
250 hands × 1.78u average stake multiplier.
Linear expectation across 445.0u action at 1.0579% Banker edge.
Volatility envelope over 250 deals against a 100u bankroll.
Scales exposure gradually during Banker clusters while keeping maximum drawdown far below geometric doubling plans.
[CDLS250-MECHANICS] Staking protocol CDLS250 applies Contra D'Alembert (+1u Win / -1u Loss) (1-2-3-4-3-2-1) on Banker across 250 hands with a 100-unit stop-loss. Adds +1 unit after each winning decision and subtracts −1 unit (down to 1u floor) after each loss. Three-plus shoe weekend trip horizon backed by a full 100-unit session bankroll.
[CDLS250-EXPECTATION] By linearity of expectation, CDLS250 cannot alter the 8-deck 1.0579% Banker house edge: multiplying 445.0u cumulative action by −1.0579% locks in −4.71u expected drift with ±26.10u standard deviation. Scales exposure gradually during Banker clusters while keeping maximum drawdown far below geometric doubling plans. Remember that baccarat is an 18+ / 21+ game of chance; review /legal/responsible-gambling before setting session limits.
| CDLS250 Checkpoint | CDLS250 Hands | CDLS250 Action | CDLS250 EV Drift | CDLS250 SD Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDLS250-Stage-1 | 50h [CDLS250] | 89.0u [CDLS250] | -0.94u [CDLS250] | ±11.67u [CDLS250] |
| CDLS250-Stage-2 | 100h [CDLS250] | 178.0u [CDLS250] | -1.88u [CDLS250] | ±16.51u [CDLS250] |
| CDLS250-Stage-3 | 150h [CDLS250] | 267.0u [CDLS250] | -2.82u [CDLS250] | ±20.22u [CDLS250] |
| CDLS250-Stage-4 | 200h [CDLS250] | 356.0u [CDLS250] | -3.77u [CDLS250] | ±23.34u [CDLS250] |
| CDLS250-Stage-5 | 250h [CDLS250] | 445.0u [CDLS250] | -4.71u [CDLS250] | ±26.10u [CDLS250] |
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