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PROGRESSION SURVIVAL AUDIT · S1324S500

1-3-2-4 Conservative Sequence — 500-Hand High-Limit Marathon (200u Bankroll) Survival & Ruin Proof

[S1324S500] Advances 1u, 3u, 2u, 4u across four wins (+10u full cycle), guaranteeing +2u net surplus even if the fourth step loses. Across 500-Hand High-Limit Marathon (200u Bankroll) (Six-shoe salon marathon exposing long-run house-edge drift against a 200-unit reserve), staking 1-3-2-4 System on Banker (1.0579% house edge) generates 770.0 units of cumulative action, an expected mathematical cost of −8.15 units, ±31.93 units of standard deviation, and a 88.5% session survival rate (11.5% bankroll ruin risk).

S1324S500 Action
770.0u
S1324S500 Expected EV
-8.15u
S1324S500 Session SD
±31.93u
S1324S500 Survival
88.5%
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B P B B P P B P B P B B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠

S1324S500 (1-3-2-4 System · 500H / 200u) scoreboard sample. Derived-road red/blue marks never alter S1324S500 progression expectation.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

S1324S500 Staking Sequence
1-3-2-4

Advances 1u, 3u, 2u, 4u across four wins (+10u full cycle), guaranteeing +2u net surplus even if the fourth step loses (Protected Four-Stage Press).

S1324S500 Cumulative Action
770.0u wagered

500 hands × 1.54u average stake multiplier.

S1324S500 Expected Cost (EV)
-8.15u

Linear expectation across 770.0u action at 1.0579% Banker edge.

S1324S500 Session Dispersion
±31.93u SD

Volatility envelope over 500 deals against a 200u bankroll.

S1324S500 Survival / Ruin Split
88.5% / 11.5%

Trades 2 units of top-step upside compared to 1-3-2-6 in exchange for banking a +2u cushion as soon as step 2 wins.

S1324S500 STOCHASTIC HORIZON

1-3-2-4 System (S1324S500) Over 500 Hands With a 200-Unit Bankroll

[S1324S500-MECHANICS] Staking protocol S1324S500 applies 1-3-2-4 Conservative Sequence (1-3-2-4) on Banker across 500 hands with a 200-unit stop-loss. Advances 1u, 3u, 2u, 4u across four wins (+10u full cycle), guaranteeing +2u net surplus even if the fourth step loses. Six-shoe salon marathon exposing long-run house-edge drift against a 200-unit reserve.

[S1324S500-EXPECTATION] By linearity of expectation, S1324S500 cannot alter the 8-deck 1.0579% Banker house edge: multiplying 770.0u cumulative action by −1.0579% locks in −8.15u expected drift with ±31.93u standard deviation. Trades 2 units of top-step upside compared to 1-3-2-6 in exchange for banking a +2u cushion as soon as step 2 wins. Remember that baccarat is an 18+ / 21+ game of chance; review /legal/responsible-gambling before setting session limits.

S1324S500 CheckpointS1324S500 HandsS1324S500 ActionS1324S500 EV DriftS1324S500 SD Band
S1324S500-Stage-1100h [S1324S500]154.0u [S1324S500]-1.63u [S1324S500]±14.28u [S1324S500]
S1324S500-Stage-2200h [S1324S500]308.0u [S1324S500]-3.26u [S1324S500]±20.20u [S1324S500]
S1324S500-Stage-3300h [S1324S500]462.0u [S1324S500]-4.89u [S1324S500]±24.74u [S1324S500]
S1324S500-Stage-4400h [S1324S500]616.0u [S1324S500]-6.52u [S1324S500]±28.56u [S1324S500]
S1324S500-Stage-5500h [S1324S500]770.0u [S1324S500]-8.15u [S1324S500]±31.93u [S1324S500]
  • S1324S500 step sequence: 1-3-2-4 (1.54u mean bet size across 500 hands).
  • S1324S500 bankroll boundary: 200u starting stack faces 11.5% ruin risk and 88.5% survival probability.
  • S1324S500 road independence: Big Eye Boy and Small Road patterns on BBPPBPBP never change the −8.15u expected house hold.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythRunning 1-3-2-4 System over 500 hands with 200 units changes the mathematical expectation of the shoe.
TruthEvery hand in S1324S500 faces the same 1.0579% Banker house edge; scaling bet sizes to 770.0u total action scales expected cost to −8.15u while reshaping variance (±31.93u SD).
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android