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PROGRESSION SURVIVAL AUDIT · TRGS160

Wait-for-Trigger Flat Entry (Sit-Out Filter) — 160-Hand Two-Shoe Session (50u Bankroll) Survival & Ruin Proof

[TRGS160] Sits out unbet hands until a two-in-a-row Big Road column or derived-road trigger appears, then places a 1u flat Banker wager. Across 160-Hand Two-Shoe Session (50u Bankroll) (Back-to-back two-shoe floor session testing progression endurance under a 50-unit stop-loss), staking Trigger Entry on Banker (1.0579% house edge) generates 72.0 units of cumulative action, an expected mathematical cost of −0.76 units, ±5.28 units of standard deviation, and a 96.4% session survival rate (3.6% bankroll ruin risk).

TRGS160 Action
72.0u
TRGS160 Expected EV
-0.76u
TRGS160 Session SD
±5.28u
TRGS160 Survival
96.4%
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P P B B B P P P B B B P B P B P B
Big Eye Boy = = = = = = ≠ = = = = = = =
Small Road = = = = = = ≠ ≠ = = =
Cockroach Pig = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = =

TRGS160 (Trigger Entry · 160H / 50u) scoreboard sample. Derived-road red/blue marks never alter TRGS160 progression expectation.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 has a bead at Row 3 too → red (=).

  1. Column 2 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 has a bead at Row 3 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 has a bead at Row 3 too → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 has a bead at Row 3 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 has a bead at Row 3 too → red (=).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 has a bead at Row 3 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

TRGS160 Staking Sequence
Skip 2 -> Bet 1u

Sits out unbet hands until a two-in-a-row Big Road column or derived-road trigger appears, then places a 1u flat Banker wager (Selective Entry Flat Plan).

TRGS160 Cumulative Action
72.0u wagered

160 hands × 0.45u average stake multiplier.

TRGS160 Expected Cost (EV)
-0.76u

Linear expectation across 72.0u action at 1.0579% Banker edge.

TRGS160 Session Dispersion
±5.28u SD

Volatility envelope over 160 deals against a 50u bankroll.

TRGS160 Survival / Ruin Split
96.4% / 3.6%

Reduces cumulative expected loss strictly by reducing total hands wagered per shoe (~45% action rate), without altering the per-bet house edge.

TRGS160 STOCHASTIC HORIZON

Trigger Entry (TRGS160) Over 160 Hands With a 50-Unit Bankroll

[TRGS160-MECHANICS] Staking protocol TRGS160 applies Wait-for-Trigger Flat Entry (Sit-Out Filter) (Skip 2 -> Bet 1u) on Banker across 160 hands with a 50-unit stop-loss. Sits out unbet hands until a two-in-a-row Big Road column or derived-road trigger appears, then places a 1u flat Banker wager. Back-to-back two-shoe floor session testing progression endurance under a 50-unit stop-loss.

[TRGS160-EXPECTATION] By linearity of expectation, TRGS160 cannot alter the 8-deck 1.0579% Banker house edge: multiplying 72.0u cumulative action by −1.0579% locks in −0.76u expected drift with ±5.28u standard deviation. Reduces cumulative expected loss strictly by reducing total hands wagered per shoe (~45% action rate), without altering the per-bet house edge. Remember that baccarat is an 18+ / 21+ game of chance; review /legal/responsible-gambling before setting session limits.

TRGS160 CheckpointTRGS160 HandsTRGS160 ActionTRGS160 EV DriftTRGS160 SD Band
TRGS160-Stage-132h [TRGS160]14.4u [TRGS160]-0.15u [TRGS160]±2.36u [TRGS160]
TRGS160-Stage-264h [TRGS160]28.8u [TRGS160]-0.30u [TRGS160]±3.34u [TRGS160]
TRGS160-Stage-396h [TRGS160]43.2u [TRGS160]-0.46u [TRGS160]±4.09u [TRGS160]
TRGS160-Stage-4128h [TRGS160]57.6u [TRGS160]-0.61u [TRGS160]±4.72u [TRGS160]
TRGS160-Stage-5160h [TRGS160]72.0u [TRGS160]-0.76u [TRGS160]±5.28u [TRGS160]
  • TRGS160 step sequence: Skip 2 -> Bet 1u (0.45u mean bet size across 160 hands).
  • TRGS160 bankroll boundary: 50u starting stack faces 3.6% ruin risk and 96.4% survival probability.
  • TRGS160 road independence: Big Eye Boy and Small Road patterns on PPPBBBPP never change the −0.76u expected house hold.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythRunning Trigger Entry over 160 hands with 50 units changes the mathematical expectation of the shoe.
TruthEvery hand in TRGS160 faces the same 1.0579% Banker house edge; scaling bet sizes to 72.0u total action scales expected cost to −0.76u while reshaping variance (±5.28u SD).
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android