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PROGRESSION SURVIVAL AUDIT · RFBS500

Reverse Fibonacci Press (1-1-2-3-5) — 500-Hand High-Limit Marathon (200u Bankroll) Survival & Ruin Proof

[RFBS500] Advances one Fibonacci step after each winning hand and drops back two steps on any losing hand. Across 500-Hand High-Limit Marathon (200u Bankroll) (Six-shoe salon marathon exposing long-run house-edge drift against a 200-unit reserve), staking Reverse Fibonacci on Banker (1.0579% house edge) generates 830.0 units of cumulative action, an expected mathematical cost of −8.78 units, ±34.42 units of standard deviation, and a 87.6% session survival rate (12.4% bankroll ruin risk).

RFBS500 Action
830.0u
RFBS500 Expected EV
-8.78u
RFBS500 Session SD
±34.42u
RFBS500 Survival
87.6%
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B P B P B P B B P P B B P P B P B P
Big Eye Boy = = = = = ≠ ≠ = = = = = = ≠ = =
Small Road = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ =
Cockroach Pig = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠

RFBS500 (Reverse Fibonacci · 500H / 200u) scoreboard sample. Derived-road red/blue marks never alter RFBS500 progression expectation.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

RFBS500 Staking Sequence
1-1-2-3-5-8

Advances one Fibonacci step after each winning hand and drops back two steps on any losing hand (Recursive Positive Progression).

RFBS500 Cumulative Action
830.0u wagered

500 hands × 1.66u average stake multiplier.

RFBS500 Expected Cost (EV)
-8.78u

Linear expectation across 830.0u action at 1.0579% Banker edge.

RFBS500 Session Dispersion
±34.42u SD

Volatility envelope over 500 deals against a 200u bankroll.

RFBS500 Survival / Ruin Split
87.6% / 12.4%

Moderates positive-press giveback by retreating two steps instead of wiping the entire streak on a single adverse card.

RFBS500 STOCHASTIC HORIZON

Reverse Fibonacci (RFBS500) Over 500 Hands With a 200-Unit Bankroll

[RFBS500-MECHANICS] Staking protocol RFBS500 applies Reverse Fibonacci Press (1-1-2-3-5) (1-1-2-3-5-8) on Banker across 500 hands with a 200-unit stop-loss. Advances one Fibonacci step after each winning hand and drops back two steps on any losing hand. Six-shoe salon marathon exposing long-run house-edge drift against a 200-unit reserve.

[RFBS500-EXPECTATION] By linearity of expectation, RFBS500 cannot alter the 8-deck 1.0579% Banker house edge: multiplying 830.0u cumulative action by −1.0579% locks in −8.78u expected drift with ±34.42u standard deviation. Moderates positive-press giveback by retreating two steps instead of wiping the entire streak on a single adverse card. Remember that baccarat is an 18+ / 21+ game of chance; review /legal/responsible-gambling before setting session limits.

RFBS500 CheckpointRFBS500 HandsRFBS500 ActionRFBS500 EV DriftRFBS500 SD Band
RFBS500-Stage-1100h [RFBS500]166.0u [RFBS500]-1.76u [RFBS500]±15.39u [RFBS500]
RFBS500-Stage-2200h [RFBS500]332.0u [RFBS500]-3.51u [RFBS500]±21.77u [RFBS500]
RFBS500-Stage-3300h [RFBS500]498.0u [RFBS500]-5.27u [RFBS500]±26.66u [RFBS500]
RFBS500-Stage-4400h [RFBS500]664.0u [RFBS500]-7.02u [RFBS500]±30.79u [RFBS500]
RFBS500-Stage-5500h [RFBS500]830.0u [RFBS500]-8.78u [RFBS500]±34.42u [RFBS500]
  • RFBS500 step sequence: 1-1-2-3-5-8 (1.66u mean bet size across 500 hands).
  • RFBS500 bankroll boundary: 200u starting stack faces 12.4% ruin risk and 87.6% survival probability.
  • RFBS500 road independence: Big Eye Boy and Small Road patterns on BPBPBPBB never change the −8.78u expected house hold.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythRunning Reverse Fibonacci over 500 hands with 200 units changes the mathematical expectation of the shoe.
TruthEvery hand in RFBS500 faces the same 1.0579% Banker house edge; scaling bet sizes to 830.0u total action scales expected cost to −8.78u while reshaping variance (±34.42u SD).
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android