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PROGRESSION SURVIVAL AUDIT · PRLS160

Paroli 3-Step Press (1-2-4) — 160-Hand Two-Shoe Session (50u Bankroll) Survival & Ruin Proof

[PRLS160] Doubles the stake after each win for up to three consecutive wins (1u, 2u, 4u) before locking in 7u net gain and resetting to 1u. Across 160-Hand Two-Shoe Session (50u Bankroll) (Back-to-back two-shoe floor session testing progression endurance under a 50-unit stop-loss), staking Paroli 1-2-4 on Player (1.2351% house edge) generates 252.8 units of cumulative action, an expected mathematical cost of −3.12 units, ±19.01 units of standard deviation, and a 86.6% session survival rate (13.4% bankroll ruin risk).

PRLS160 Action
252.8u
PRLS160 Expected EV
-3.12u
PRLS160 Session SD
±19.01u
PRLS160 Survival
86.6%
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B B P P P B B B P P P B B P B
Big Eye Boy = = = = = = ≠ = = = = = =
Small Road = = = = = = ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ =

PRLS160 (Paroli 1-2-4 · 160H / 50u) scoreboard sample. Derived-road red/blue marks never alter PRLS160 progression expectation.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 has a bead at Row 3 too → red (=).

  1. Column 2 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 has a bead at Row 3 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 has a bead at Row 3 too → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 has a bead at Row 3 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 has a bead at Row 3 too → red (=).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 has a bead at Row 3 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

PRLS160 Staking Sequence
1-2-4-collect

Doubles the stake after each win for up to three consecutive wins (1u, 2u, 4u) before locking in 7u net gain and resetting to 1u (Positive Progression Press).

PRLS160 Cumulative Action
252.8u wagered

160 hands × 1.58u average stake multiplier.

PRLS160 Expected Cost (EV)
-3.12u

Linear expectation across 252.8u action at 1.2351% Player edge.

PRLS160 Session Dispersion
±19.01u SD

Volatility envelope over 160 deals against a 50u bankroll.

PRLS160 Survival / Ruin Split
86.6% / 13.4%

Protects starting capital by risking only 1 fresh unit per cycle while converting 12.0% three-win clusters into +7u bursts.

PRLS160 STOCHASTIC HORIZON

Paroli 1-2-4 (PRLS160) Over 160 Hands With a 50-Unit Bankroll

[PRLS160-MECHANICS] Staking protocol PRLS160 applies Paroli 3-Step Press (1-2-4) (1-2-4-collect) on Player across 160 hands with a 50-unit stop-loss. Doubles the stake after each win for up to three consecutive wins (1u, 2u, 4u) before locking in 7u net gain and resetting to 1u. Back-to-back two-shoe floor session testing progression endurance under a 50-unit stop-loss.

[PRLS160-EXPECTATION] By linearity of expectation, PRLS160 cannot alter the 8-deck 1.2351% Player house edge: multiplying 252.8u cumulative action by −1.2351% locks in −3.12u expected drift with ±19.01u standard deviation. Protects starting capital by risking only 1 fresh unit per cycle while converting 12.0% three-win clusters into +7u bursts. Remember that baccarat is an 18+ / 21+ game of chance; review /legal/responsible-gambling before setting session limits.

PRLS160 CheckpointPRLS160 HandsPRLS160 ActionPRLS160 EV DriftPRLS160 SD Band
PRLS160-Stage-132h [PRLS160]50.6u [PRLS160]-0.62u [PRLS160]±8.50u [PRLS160]
PRLS160-Stage-264h [PRLS160]101.1u [PRLS160]-1.25u [PRLS160]±12.02u [PRLS160]
PRLS160-Stage-396h [PRLS160]151.7u [PRLS160]-1.87u [PRLS160]±14.72u [PRLS160]
PRLS160-Stage-4128h [PRLS160]202.2u [PRLS160]-2.50u [PRLS160]±17.00u [PRLS160]
PRLS160-Stage-5160h [PRLS160]252.8u [PRLS160]-3.12u [PRLS160]±19.01u [PRLS160]
  • PRLS160 step sequence: 1-2-4-collect (1.58u mean bet size across 160 hands).
  • PRLS160 bankroll boundary: 50u starting stack faces 13.4% ruin risk and 86.6% survival probability.
  • PRLS160 road independence: Big Eye Boy and Small Road patterns on BBBPPPBB never change the −3.12u expected house hold.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythRunning Paroli 1-2-4 over 160 hands with 50 units changes the mathematical expectation of the shoe.
TruthEvery hand in PRLS160 faces the same 1.2351% Player house edge; scaling bet sizes to 252.8u total action scales expected cost to −3.12u while reshaping variance (±19.01u SD).
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android