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REGIME SHIFT: STREAK TO CHOP · CATALOG ESL20 (SEED 204920)

Early-Streak Late-Chop Shoe ESL20: 79-Hand 8-Deck Scoreboard & Derived-Road Audit

Catalog shoe ESL20 (seed 204920) captures a deep opening streaks decaying into rapid single-hand alternation across the back half across 79 dealt 8-deck hands (41 Banker, 33 Player, 5 Tie). Its 36 logical Big Road columns occupy 36 display columns (C1:1P · C2:1B · C3:1P · C4:6B · C5:5P · C6:7B · C7:1P · C8:1B) and generate 72 Big Eye Boy marks (34R/38B), 71 Small Road marks (33R/38B), and 70 Cockroach Pig marks (44R/26B).

Verified 8-Deck Hands
79 (ESL20)
Outcome Split
41B / 33P / 5T
Peak Streaks
7B · 5P
Big Road Columns
36 Cols
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 79 Hands

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Big Road P B P B B B B B P P P P P B B B B B P B B P B B P B P B P B P B P B B B P P B P P B B P P P P B P P B B P B B P P P B P P B B B B P B B B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = = = ≠ = = = = ≠ = = = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ =
Small Road = ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ = = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = = = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ = = = = = = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ = = =

ESL20 (seed 204920): 79 hands (41B / 33P / 5T), peak streaks 7B & 5P across 36 logical columns.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
ESL20 Big Eye Boy Entry #4

This bead is at Row 3. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, more than one row above → red (=).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 3.
  2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, more than one row above → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

ESL20 Small Road Entry #6

This bead is at Row 6. Column 2 stopped at Row 1, more than one row above → red (=).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 6, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 stopped at Row 1, more than one row above → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

ESL20 Cockroach Pig Entry #4

This bead is at Row 5. Column 1 stopped at Row 1, more than one row above → red (=).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 5, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 1, more than one row above → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

ESL20 8-Deck Hand Distribution
79 Hands (41 Banker / 33 Player / 5 Tie)

Seed 204920 opening column signature: C1:1P · C2:1B · C3:1P · C4:6B · C5:5P · C6:7B · C7:1P · C8:1B.

ESL20 Big Road Span & Max Streaks
Max 7B / Max 5P Across 36 Logical Cols (36 Display Cols)

Opening columns fill deep vertical stacks on the left of the Big Road, followed by a wide horizontal march of depth-1 singletons toward the cut card.

ESL20 Big Eye Boy Rule Breakdown
72 Marks (34R / 38B · 47.2% Red across 37 Display Cols)

Rule 1: 34 marks · Rule 2 Case 1: 0 · Case 2: 0 · Case 3: 38.

ESL20 Small Road & Cockroach Pig Tally
SR: 33R/38B (46.5% Red) · CP: 44R/26B (62.9% Red)

As the deep opening columns give way to depth-1 singletons, Rule 1 initially flashes Blue (≠) against the deep lookback columns and then stabilizes into solid Rule 1 Red (=) once all lookbacks are depth 1.

ESL20 Hand #80 Next-Hand Probe
If B → BEB red, SR red, CP red | If P → BEB blue, SR blue, CP blue

Computed by getNextRoadPredictions() after Hand #79 of ESL20.

ESL20 COLUMN GEOMETRY (EARLY-STREAK-LATE-CHOP)

ESL20 Scoreboard Structure: C1:1P · C2:1B · C3:1P · C4:6B · C5:5P · C6:7B · C7:1P · C8:1B

In catalog shoe ESL20 (seed 204920), 79 total hands resolve into 41 Banker wins, 33 Player wins, and 5 Ties across 36 logical columns (C1:1P · C2:1B · C3:1P · C4:6B · C5:5P · C6:7B · C7:1P · C8:1B). Opening columns fill deep vertical stacks on the left of the Big Road, followed by a wide horizontal march of depth-1 singletons toward the cut card.

Tracking ESL20 column by column shows peak runs of 7B and 5P spreading across 36 Big Road display columns: ESL20 records 34 Rule 1 new-column checks, 0 Rule 2 Case 1 covered-row checks, 0 Rule 2 Case 2 one-past-bottom breaks, and 38 Rule 2 Case 3 deep-tail checks.

Opening 10 Big Road Columns of ESL20 (Seed 204920)
Column & SpanBeadsRunning TallyGrid StopDepth Pair
ESL20-C01 (H1–H1)1P (P) [ESL20]0B/1P (+0T @ESL20-C1)ESL20 Row1 Stop (Col1)NextColVsESL20-C1: 1v1
ESL20-C02 (H2–H2)1B (B) [ESL20]1B/1P (+0T @ESL20-C2)ESL20 Row1 Stop (Col2)NextColVsESL20-C1: 1v1
ESL20-C03 (H3–H3)1P (P) [ESL20]1B/2P (+0T @ESL20-C3)ESL20 Row1 Stop (Col3)NextColVsESL20-C2: 1v1
ESL20-C04 (H4–H10)6B (BBBBBB) [ESL20]7B/2P (+1T @ESL20-C4)ESL20 Row6 Stop (Col4)NextColVsESL20-C3: 6v1
ESL20-C05 (H11–H15)5P (PPPPP) [ESL20]7B/7P (+0T @ESL20-C5)ESL20 Row5 Stop (Col5)NextColVsESL20-C4: 5v6
ESL20-C06 (H16–H23)7B (BBBBBB) [ESL20]14B/7P (+1T @ESL20-C6)ESL20 Row6 Tail +1RightNextColVsESL20-C5: 7v5
ESL20-C07 (H24–H24)1P (P) [ESL20]14B/8P (+0T @ESL20-C7)ESL20 Row1 Stop (Col7)NextColVsESL20-C6: 1v7
ESL20-C08 (H25–H25)1B (B) [ESL20]15B/8P (+0T @ESL20-C8)ESL20 Row1 Stop (Col8)NextColVsESL20-C7: 1v1
ESL20-C09 (H26–H26)1P (P) [ESL20]15B/9P (+0T @ESL20-C9)ESL20 Row1 Stop (Col9)NextColVsESL20-C8: 1v1
ESL20-C10 (H27–H28)2B (BB) [ESL20]17B/9P (+0T @ESL20-C10)ESL20 Row2 Stop (Col10)NextColVsESL20-C9: 2v1
  • ESL20 BEB #4 (RED): verified at ESL20 lookback-1 index 3 (34R/38B total).
  • ESL20 SR #6 (RED): verified at ESL20 lookback-2 index 5 (33R/38B total).
  • ESL20 CP #4 (RED): verified at ESL20 lookback-3 index 3 (44R/26B total).
ESL20 DERIVED-ROAD & CUT-CARD PROBE

ESL20 Lookback Split (34R/38B BEB · 33R/38B SR · 44R/26B CP)

As the deep opening columns give way to depth-1 singletons, Rule 1 initially flashes Blue (≠) against the deep lookback columns and then stabilizes into solid Rule 1 Red (=) once all lookbacks are depth 1. Across ESL20, Big Eye Boy prints 34 Red (47.2%) and 38 Blue marks, Small Road prints 33 Red (46.5%) and 38 Blue marks, and Cockroach Pig prints 44 Red (62.9%) and 26 Blue marks.

At the ESL20 cut card after Hand #79, probing Hand #80 via getNextRoadPredictions() yields Banker → BEB RED / SR RED / CP RED and Player → BEB BLUE / SR BLUE / CP BLUE for ESL20.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythDeep opening columns in ESL20 mean multi-hand streaks will dominate all the way to the cut card.
TruthOpening streaks in ESL20 reflect only the cards already dealt; the second half transitions into depth-1 alternation that locks Rule 1 into Red (=).
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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
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