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REGIME SHIFT: STREAK TO CHOP · CATALOG ESL13 (SEED 204913)

Early-Streak Late-Chop Shoe ESL13: 80-Hand 8-Deck Scoreboard & Derived-Road Audit

Catalog shoe ESL13 (seed 204913) captures a deep opening streaks decaying into rapid single-hand alternation across the back half across 80 dealt 8-deck hands (41 Banker, 31 Player, 8 Tie). Its 35 logical Big Road columns occupy 35 display columns (C1:5B · C2:4P · C3:6B · C4:1P · C5:1B · C6:1P · C7:2B · C8:1P) and generate 66 Big Eye Boy marks (25R/41B), 62 Small Road marks (24R/38B), and 56 Cockroach Pig marks (34R/22B).

Verified 8-Deck Hands
80 (ESL13)
Outcome Split
41B / 31P / 8T
Peak Streaks
6B · 4P
Big Road Columns
35 Cols
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 80 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

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Big Road B B B B P P P P B B B B B P B P B P B P B P P B B P P B B B P B P P P P B P P B B P B B B P B B B B P B P P P B P P B B B P B B
Big Eye Boy = = = ≠ = = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠
Small Road = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ =
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = = = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ = = = = = = = =

ESL13 (seed 204913): 80 hands (41B / 31P / 8T), peak streaks 6B & 4P across 35 logical columns.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
ESL13 Big Eye Boy Entry #3

This bead is at Row 4. Column 1 has a bead at Row 4 too → red (=).

  1. Column 2 goes down to Row 4, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 has a bead at Row 4 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

ESL13 Small Road Entry #4

This bead is at Row 5. Column 1 has a bead at Row 5 too → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 5, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 has a bead at Row 5 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

ESL13 Cockroach Pig Entry #1

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 1 has 5 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 1 has 5 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

ESL13 8-Deck Hand Distribution
80 Hands (41 Banker / 31 Player / 8 Tie)

Seed 204913 opening column signature: C1:5B · C2:4P · C3:6B · C4:1P · C5:1B · C6:1P · C7:2B · C8:1P.

ESL13 Big Road Span & Max Streaks
Max 6B / Max 4P Across 35 Logical Cols (35 Display Cols)

Opening columns fill deep vertical stacks on the left of the Big Road, followed by a wide horizontal march of depth-1 singletons toward the cut card.

ESL13 Big Eye Boy Rule Breakdown
66 Marks (25R / 41B · 37.9% Red across 34 Display Cols)

Rule 1: 33 marks · Rule 2 Case 1: 0 · Case 2: 0 · Case 3: 33.

ESL13 Small Road & Cockroach Pig Tally
SR: 24R/38B (38.7% Red) · CP: 34R/22B (60.7% Red)

As the deep opening columns give way to depth-1 singletons, Rule 1 initially flashes Blue (≠) against the deep lookback columns and then stabilizes into solid Rule 1 Red (=) once all lookbacks are depth 1.

ESL13 Hand #81 Next-Hand Probe
If B → BEB red, SR red, CP blue | If P → BEB blue, SR blue, CP red

Computed by getNextRoadPredictions() after Hand #80 of ESL13.

ESL13 COLUMN GEOMETRY (EARLY-STREAK-LATE-CHOP)

ESL13 Scoreboard Structure: C1:5B · C2:4P · C3:6B · C4:1P · C5:1B · C6:1P · C7:2B · C8:1P

In catalog shoe ESL13 (seed 204913), 80 total hands resolve into 41 Banker wins, 31 Player wins, and 8 Ties across 35 logical columns (C1:5B · C2:4P · C3:6B · C4:1P · C5:1B · C6:1P · C7:2B · C8:1P). Opening columns fill deep vertical stacks on the left of the Big Road, followed by a wide horizontal march of depth-1 singletons toward the cut card.

Tracking ESL13 column by column shows peak runs of 6B and 4P spreading across 35 Big Road display columns: ESL13 records 33 Rule 1 new-column checks, 0 Rule 2 Case 1 covered-row checks, 0 Rule 2 Case 2 one-past-bottom breaks, and 33 Rule 2 Case 3 deep-tail checks.

Opening 10 Big Road Columns of ESL13 (Seed 204913)
Column & SpanBeadsRunning TallyGrid StopDepth Pair
ESL13-C01 (H1–H6)5B (BBBBB) [ESL13]5B/0P (+1T @ESL13-C1)ESL13 Row5 Stop (Col1)NextColVsESL13-C1: 5v5
ESL13-C02 (H7–H10)4P (PPPP) [ESL13]5B/4P (+0T @ESL13-C2)ESL13 Row4 Stop (Col2)NextColVsESL13-C1: 4v5
ESL13-C03 (H11–H17)6B (BBBBBB) [ESL13]11B/4P (+1T @ESL13-C3)ESL13 Row6 Stop (Col3)NextColVsESL13-C2: 6v4
ESL13-C04 (H18–H18)1P (P) [ESL13]11B/5P (+0T @ESL13-C4)ESL13 Row1 Stop (Col4)NextColVsESL13-C3: 1v6
ESL13-C05 (H19–H19)1B (B) [ESL13]12B/5P (+0T @ESL13-C5)ESL13 Row1 Stop (Col5)NextColVsESL13-C4: 1v1
ESL13-C06 (H20–H20)1P (P) [ESL13]12B/6P (+0T @ESL13-C6)ESL13 Row1 Stop (Col6)NextColVsESL13-C5: 1v1
ESL13-C07 (H21–H23)2B (BB) [ESL13]14B/6P (+1T @ESL13-C7)ESL13 Row2 Stop (Col7)NextColVsESL13-C6: 2v1
ESL13-C08 (H24–H24)1P (P) [ESL13]14B/7P (+0T @ESL13-C8)ESL13 Row1 Stop (Col8)NextColVsESL13-C7: 1v2
ESL13-C09 (H25–H25)1B (B) [ESL13]15B/7P (+0T @ESL13-C9)ESL13 Row1 Stop (Col9)NextColVsESL13-C8: 1v1
ESL13-C10 (H26–H26)1P (P) [ESL13]15B/8P (+0T @ESL13-C10)ESL13 Row1 Stop (Col10)NextColVsESL13-C9: 1v1
  • ESL13 BEB #3 (RED): verified at ESL13 lookback-1 index 2 (25R/41B total).
  • ESL13 SR #4 (RED): verified at ESL13 lookback-2 index 3 (24R/38B total).
  • ESL13 CP #1 (BLUE): verified at ESL13 lookback-3 index 0 (34R/22B total).
ESL13 DERIVED-ROAD & CUT-CARD PROBE

ESL13 Lookback Split (25R/41B BEB · 24R/38B SR · 34R/22B CP)

As the deep opening columns give way to depth-1 singletons, Rule 1 initially flashes Blue (≠) against the deep lookback columns and then stabilizes into solid Rule 1 Red (=) once all lookbacks are depth 1. Across ESL13, Big Eye Boy prints 25 Red (37.9%) and 41 Blue marks, Small Road prints 24 Red (38.7%) and 38 Blue marks, and Cockroach Pig prints 34 Red (60.7%) and 22 Blue marks.

At the ESL13 cut card after Hand #80, probing Hand #81 via getNextRoadPredictions() yields Banker → BEB RED / SR RED / CP BLUE and Player → BEB BLUE / SR BLUE / CP RED for ESL13.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythDeep opening columns in ESL13 mean multi-hand streaks will dominate all the way to the cut card.
TruthOpening streaks in ESL13 reflect only the cards already dealt; the second half transitions into depth-1 alternation that locks Rule 1 into Red (=).
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

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Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
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