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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 8D · RANK-9 · 25% DEPTH

8-Deck Nine-Pip Card Depletion at 25% Penetration (5% Audit DEP443)

Removing 9 of 32 Nine-Pip Card (Rank-9) cards at 25% penetration of a 8-deck (416-card) shoe leaves 23 Rank-9 cards inside a 312-card stub (DEP443), producing 45.8594% Banker wins, 44.6250% Player wins, 9.5156% Ties, and a 1.0585% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0585%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2345%
Rank-9 in 312-Card Stub
23/32
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9347
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B B B P P P P B B P P B P
Big Eye Boy = = = ≠ = ≠ = = = = = ≠ = = ≠
Small Road = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBBBBPPPPBBPPBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP443 (8D Rank-9 at 25% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP443)
312 / 416 Cards

25% penetration depth in 8D (eight-deck Macau, Las Vegas Strip, and Singapore standard shoes).

Rank-9 Remaining
23 of 32 Cards

9 9-pip cards (top Natural 9 generator) removed from the 8D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0585%

Resolved at 45.8594% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2345%

Resolved at 44.6250% Player win rate with 0.9347 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5156%

Produces a 14.3597% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP443.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP443

How Nine-Pip Card Depletion at 25% Depth Impacts 8D (5% Vig)

Across 4,998,398,275,503,360 initial 8D permutations, depletion node DEP443 narrows to a 312-card stub (25% depth) holding 23 of 32 Rank-9 cards, where Banker resolves at 45.8594% (-1.0585% EV) and Player at 44.6250% (-1.2345% EV).

In six-card resolution tree DEP443 (8D at 25% depth, 312 cards left), when 9s are depleted (dep443-rank-9) late in the shoe, more (312c) hands bypass four-card natural resolution (dep443-rank-9·312c) and enter the five- and six-card tableau; removing 9 of 32 Rank-9 cards (-0.23 bps weight) leaves Banker at -1.0585% EV under 5%.

State DEP443 (8D, 25% depth, 23/32 Rank-9 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP443 Value8D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP443 Banker (5% Vig)45.8594% (-1.0585% EV)45.8597%DEP443 8D 25% (23 Rank-9)
DEP443 Player (1:1)44.6250% (-1.2345% EV)44.6247%DEP443 312-card 8D stub (0.9347 SD)
DEP443 Tie (8:1)9.5156% (-14.3597% EV)9.5156%DEP443 Rank-9 (9 out, 23 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP443

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP443 · 8D)

Even at 25% penetration in DEP443 where 9 Rank-9 cards have exited a 8D shoe (23 left in 312 cards), derived-road red and blue entries measure structural regularity on the Big Road—not whether Banker (-1.0585% EV, 5% Vig) or Player (-1.2345% EV) is favored next.

  • DEP443 (8D 25%): 312/416 cards with 23/32 Rank-9 (1A).
  • DEP443 (Rank-9 split): 45.8594% Banker, 44.6250% Player, 9.5156% Tie in 312 8D cards (1B).
  • DEP443 (5% Vig EV): -1.0585% Banker, -1.2345% Player, -14.3597% Tie, 0.9347 SD at 25% (1C).
  • DEP443 (8D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 23 Rank-9 stub count (1D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 9 Nine-Pip Card cards leave a 8D shoe by 25% depth (DEP443), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-9 stub counts (23/32 in 312 cards); Banker carries a -1.0585% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android