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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 8D · RANK-9 · 10% DEPTH

8-Deck Nine-Pip Card Depletion at 10% Penetration (5% Audit DEP442)

Removing 4 of 32 Nine-Pip Card (Rank-9) cards at 10% penetration of a 8-deck (416-card) shoe leaves 28 Rank-9 cards inside a 374-card stub (DEP442), producing 45.8596% Banker wins, 44.6248% Player wins, 9.5156% Ties, and a 1.0582% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0582%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2348%
Rank-9 in 374-Card Stub
28/32
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9332
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P P B B P B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPBTBPPBBPBPBPP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP442 (8D Rank-9 at 10% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP442)
374 / 416 Cards

10% penetration depth in 8D (eight-deck Macau, Las Vegas Strip, and Singapore standard shoes).

Rank-9 Remaining
28 of 32 Cards

4 9-pip cards (top Natural 9 generator) removed from the 8D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0582%

Resolved at 45.8596% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2348%

Resolved at 44.6248% Player win rate with 0.9332 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5156%

Produces a 14.3596% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP442.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP442

How Nine-Pip Card Depletion at 10% Depth Impacts 8D (5% Vig)

Within eight-deck Macau, Las Vegas Strip, and Singapore standard shoes, profile DEP442 examines 10% shoe depletion (374 of 416 cards remaining) after 4 Rank-9 cards exit, leaving 28 Nine-Pip Card cards and a 1.0582% Banker house hold under 5%.

Comparing initial 416-card 8D weights against stub DEP442 (374 cards, 10% depth, 28 Rank-9 left) illustrates how rank 9 paired with (dep442) any ten or face card (8d-10%) creates an unbeatable two-card natural (dep442·8d-10%) 9 that halts all third-card drawing on both sides (-0.23 bps slope, 1.0582% 5% Vig edge).

State DEP442 (8D, 10% depth, 28/32 Rank-9 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP442 Value8D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP442 Banker (5% Vig)45.8596% (-1.0582% EV)45.8597%DEP442 8D 10% (28 Rank-9)
DEP442 Player (1:1)44.6248% (-1.2348% EV)44.6247%DEP442 374-card 8D stub (0.9332 SD)
DEP442 Tie (8:1)9.5156% (-14.3596% EV)9.5156%DEP442 Rank-9 (4 out, 28 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP442

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP442 · 8D)

For DEP442 (374 remaining cards in a 416-card 8D shoe at 10% depth), tracking all 4 exited Rank-9 cards moves Banker win rate to 45.8596% (-1.0582% EV, 5% Vig) and Player to 44.6248% (-1.2348% EV).

  • DEP442 (8D 10%): 374/416 cards with 28/32 Rank-9 (3A).
  • DEP442 (Rank-9 split): 45.8596% Banker, 44.6248% Player, 9.5156% Tie in 374 8D cards (3B).
  • DEP442 (5% Vig EV): -1.0582% Banker, -1.2348% Player, -14.3596% Tie, 0.9332 SD at 10% (3C).
  • DEP442 (8D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 28 Rank-9 stub count (3D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 4 Nine-Pip Card cards leave a 8D shoe by 10% depth (DEP442), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-9 stub counts (28/32 in 374 cards); Banker carries a -1.0582% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android