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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 8D · RANK-7 · 75% DEPTH

8-Deck Seven-Pip Card Depletion at 75% Penetration (4% Audit DEP430)

Removing 28 of 32 Seven-Pip Card (Rank-7) cards at 75% penetration of a 8-deck (416-card) shoe leaves 4 Rank-7 cards inside a 104-card stub (DEP430), producing 45.8559% Banker wins, 44.6286% Player wins, 9.5155% Ties, and a 0.6069% Banker house edge under 4%.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.6069%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2274%
Rank-7 in 104-Card Stub
4/32
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9391
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P P B B P B P P B B P B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ =

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPBPPBBPBPPBBPB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP430 (8D Rank-7 at 75% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 5 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP430)
104 / 416 Cards

75% penetration depth in 8D (eight-deck Macau, Las Vegas Strip, and Singapore standard shoes).

Rank-7 Remaining
4 of 32 Cards

28 7-pip cards (Player stand total and Dragon 7 boundary) removed from the 8D pack.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.6069%

Resolved at 45.8559% Banker win rate under 4% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2274%

Resolved at 44.6286% Player win rate with 0.9391 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5155%

Produces a 14.3604% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP430.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP430

How Seven-Pip Card Depletion at 75% Depth Impacts 8D (4% Vig)

Depletion matrix entry DEP430 pairs 8D (416 cards) at 75% penetration with 28 removed Seven-Pip Card cards (4 left in 104 cards), fixing per-hand volatility at 0.9391 and Banker house hold at 0.6069% (4% Vig).

Because depleting 7s lowers the (dep430-rank-7) rate of winning three-card banker (104c) 7 hands (the barred push (dep430-rank-7·104c) total on ez baccarat tables), state DEP430 (75% 8D depth, 28 Rank-7 removed, 4 in 104 cards) registers a -0.83 bps rank derivative and 0.6069% Banker house edge (4% Vig).

State DEP430 (8D, 75% depth, 4/32 Rank-7 left, 4% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP430 Value8D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP430 Banker (4% Vig)45.8559% (-0.6069% EV)45.8597%DEP430 8D 75% (4 Rank-7)
DEP430 Player (1:1)44.6286% (-1.2274% EV)44.6247%DEP430 104-card 8D stub (0.9391 SD)
DEP430 Tie (8:1)9.5155% (-14.3604% EV)9.5156%DEP430 Rank-7 (28 out, 4 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP430

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP430 · 8D)

Cut-card protocol at 75% depth in DEP430 (8D, 104 stub cards containing 4 Rank-7 cards) ensures the shoe reshuffles long before 4% house hold (0.6069% Banker / 1.2274% Player) is overturned.

  • DEP430 (8D 75%): 104/416 cards with 4/32 Rank-7 (6A).
  • DEP430 (Rank-7 split): 45.8559% Banker, 44.6286% Player, 9.5155% Tie in 104 8D cards (6B).
  • DEP430 (4% Vig EV): -0.6069% Banker, -1.2274% Player, -14.3604% Tie, 0.9391 SD at 75% (6C).
  • DEP430 (8D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 4 Rank-7 stub count (6D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 28 Seven-Pip Card cards leave a 8D shoe by 75% depth (DEP430), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-7 stub counts (4/32 in 104 cards); Banker carries a -0.6069% expectation under 4%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android