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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 8D · RANK-7 · 70% DEPTH

8-Deck Seven-Pip Card Depletion at 70% Penetration (5% Audit DEP429)

Removing 26 of 32 Seven-Pip Card (Rank-7) cards at 70% penetration of a 8-deck (416-card) shoe leaves 6 Rank-7 cards inside a 125-card stub (DEP429), producing 45.8563% Banker wins, 44.6282% Player wins, 9.5155% Ties, and a 1.0647% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0647%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2281%
Rank-7 in 125-Card Stub
6/32
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9386
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B B P P B P B B P P B P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ =

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBPBBPPBPBBPPBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP429 (8D Rank-7 at 70% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 5 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP429)
125 / 416 Cards

70% penetration depth in 8D (eight-deck Macau, Las Vegas Strip, and Singapore standard shoes).

Rank-7 Remaining
6 of 32 Cards

26 7-pip cards (Player stand total and Dragon 7 boundary) removed from the 8D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0647%

Resolved at 45.8563% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2281%

Resolved at 44.6282% Player win rate with 0.9386 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5155%

Produces a 14.3603% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP429.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP429

How Seven-Pip Card Depletion at 70% Depth Impacts 8D (5% Vig)

Across 4,998,398,275,503,360 initial 8D permutations, depletion node DEP429 narrows to a 125-card stub (70% depth) holding 6 of 32 Rank-7 cards, where Banker resolves at 45.8563% (-1.0647% EV) and Player at 44.6282% (-1.2281% EV).

Tableau audit DEP429 confirms that player stands pat on (dep429) two-card 7, and a player (8d-70%) third-card 7 is the highest (dep429·8d-70%) card that forces banker 4, 5, and 6 to draw. Inside the 125-card 8D stub (70% depth, 6/32 Rank-7 remaining, -0.83 bps slope), standard deviation is 0.9386 under 5% Vig.

State DEP429 (8D, 70% depth, 6/32 Rank-7 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP429 Value8D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP429 Banker (5% Vig)45.8563% (-1.0647% EV)45.8597%DEP429 8D 70% (6 Rank-7)
DEP429 Player (1:1)44.6282% (-1.2281% EV)44.6247%DEP429 125-card 8D stub (0.9386 SD)
DEP429 Tie (8:1)9.5155% (-14.3603% EV)9.5156%DEP429 Rank-7 (26 out, 6 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP429

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP429 · 8D)

Comparing DEP429 (70% 8D depth, 26 Rank-7 removed, 6 remaining in 125 cards) against fresh-shoe baselines shows how finite-stub variance (0.9386 SD) coexists with a 1.0647% 5% Banker house edge.

  • DEP429 (8D 70%): 125/416 cards with 6/32 Rank-7 (1A).
  • DEP429 (Rank-7 split): 45.8563% Banker, 44.6282% Player, 9.5155% Tie in 125 8D cards (1B).
  • DEP429 (5% Vig EV): -1.0647% Banker, -1.2281% Player, -14.3603% Tie, 0.9386 SD at 70% (1C).
  • DEP429 (8D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 6 Rank-7 stub count (1D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 26 Seven-Pip Card cards leave a 8D shoe by 70% depth (DEP429), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-7 stub counts (6/32 in 125 cards); Banker carries a -1.0647% expectation under 5%.
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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
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