Skip to main content
Baccarat Smart
  1. Home
  2. Combinatorial Math Hub
  3. 8D Rank-7 Depletion at 40% Depth (4% Vig)
COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 8D · RANK-7 · 40% DEPTH

8-Deck Seven-Pip Card Depletion at 40% Penetration (4% Audit DEP426)

Removing 15 of 32 Seven-Pip Card (Rank-7) cards at 40% penetration of a 8-deck (416-card) shoe leaves 17 Rank-7 cards inside a 250-card stub (DEP426), producing 45.8580% Banker wins, 44.6264% Player wins, 9.5156% Ties, and a 0.6027% Banker house edge under 4%.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.6027%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2316%
Rank-7 in 250-Card Stub
17/32
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9356
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P P B B P B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPBTBPPBBPBPBPP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP426 (8D Rank-7 at 40% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP426)
250 / 416 Cards

40% penetration depth in 8D (eight-deck Macau, Las Vegas Strip, and Singapore standard shoes).

Rank-7 Remaining
17 of 32 Cards

15 7-pip cards (Player stand total and Dragon 7 boundary) removed from the 8D pack.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.6027%

Resolved at 45.8580% Banker win rate under 4% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2316%

Resolved at 44.6264% Player win rate with 0.9356 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5156%

Produces a 14.3600% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP426.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP426

How Seven-Pip Card Depletion at 40% Depth Impacts 8D (4% Vig)

Under 4% settlement (4% Vig), combinatorial state DEP426 models a 8D carrier with 250 cards left (40% dealt) and 17/32 Seven-Pip Card cards remaining, producing a 0.6027% Banker edge versus 1.2316% on Player.

Mechanical draw trees in DEP426 reflect how depleting 7s lowers the (dep426-rank-7) rate of winning three-card banker (250c) 7 hands (the barred push (dep426-rank-7·250c) total on ez baccarat tables). At 40% 8D depth (17 Rank-7 left of 32 in 250 cards, -0.83 bps slope), winning banker wagers collect (dep426-8d) 0.96 units per unit staked (17/32) with 60% of the shoe (dep426-8d·17/32) still inside the acrylic carrier.

State DEP426 (8D, 40% depth, 17/32 Rank-7 left, 4% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP426 Value8D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP426 Banker (4% Vig)45.8580% (-0.6027% EV)45.8597%DEP426 8D 40% (17 Rank-7)
DEP426 Player (1:1)44.6264% (-1.2316% EV)44.6247%DEP426 250-card 8D stub (0.9356 SD)
DEP426 Tie (8:1)9.5156% (-14.3600% EV)9.5156%DEP426 Rank-7 (15 out, 17 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP426

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP426 · 8D)

In studio and floor audits of DEP426 (250 cards undealt out of 416 in 8D at 40% depth), a 0.9356 unit standard deviation accompanies the 17-card Rank-7 stub under 4% Vig (45.8580% Banker vs 44.6264% Player).

  • DEP426 (8D 40%): 250/416 cards with 17/32 Rank-7 (7A).
  • DEP426 (Rank-7 split): 45.8580% Banker, 44.6264% Player, 9.5156% Tie in 250 8D cards (7B).
  • DEP426 (4% Vig EV): -0.6027% Banker, -1.2316% Player, -14.3600% Tie, 0.9356 SD at 40% (7C).
  • DEP426 (8D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 17 Rank-7 stub count (7D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 15 Seven-Pip Card cards leave a 8D shoe by 40% depth (DEP426), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-7 stub counts (17/32 in 250 cards); Banker carries a -0.6027% expectation under 4%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android