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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 8D · RANK-7 · 10% DEPTH

8-Deck Seven-Pip Card Depletion at 10% Penetration (5% Audit DEP424)

Removing 4 of 32 Seven-Pip Card (Rank-7) cards at 10% penetration of a 8-deck (416-card) shoe leaves 28 Rank-7 cards inside a 374-card stub (DEP424), producing 45.8593% Banker wins, 44.6251% Player wins, 9.5156% Ties, and a 1.0587% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0587%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2343%
Rank-7 in 374-Card Stub
28/32
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9326
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P B P B P B B P P B B P B
Big Eye Boy = = = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠
Small Road = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPPBPBPBBPPBBPB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP424 (8D Rank-7 at 10% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP424)
374 / 416 Cards

10% penetration depth in 8D (eight-deck Macau, Las Vegas Strip, and Singapore standard shoes).

Rank-7 Remaining
28 of 32 Cards

4 7-pip cards (Player stand total and Dragon 7 boundary) removed from the 8D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0587%

Resolved at 45.8593% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2343%

Resolved at 44.6251% Player win rate with 0.9326 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5156%

Produces a 14.3597% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP424.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP424

How Seven-Pip Card Depletion at 10% Depth Impacts 8D (5% Vig)

Finite-shoe specification DEP424 tracks Rank-7 removal at 10% depth in 8-deck play: with 28 of 32 Seven-Pip Card cards left in the 374-card stub, Tie incidence is 9.5156% and Banker expectation settles at -1.0587% (5% Vig).

Tracking DEP424 across 374 remaining 8D cards (10% depth) shows that depleting 7s lowers the (dep424-rank-7) rate of winning three-card banker (374c) 7 hands (the barred push (dep424-rank-7·374c) total on ez baccarat tables). With 4 Rank-7 cards gone (-0.83 bps unit sensitivity), Banker expectation is -1.0587% (5% Vig) vs -1.2343% on Player.

State DEP424 (8D, 10% depth, 28/32 Rank-7 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP424 Value8D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP424 Banker (5% Vig)45.8593% (-1.0587% EV)45.8597%DEP424 8D 10% (28 Rank-7)
DEP424 Player (1:1)44.6251% (-1.2343% EV)44.6247%DEP424 374-card 8D stub (0.9326 SD)
DEP424 Tie (8:1)9.5156% (-14.3597% EV)9.5156%DEP424 Rank-7 (4 out, 28 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP424

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP424 · 8D)

Across 100-hand session horizons at state DEP424 (8D 10% depth, 28/32 Rank-7 in 374 cards), single-hand dispersion (0.9326 SD) dominates the 1.0587% (5% Vig) Banker and 1.2343% Player expectation gap.

  • DEP424 (8D 10%): 374/416 cards with 28/32 Rank-7 (4A).
  • DEP424 (Rank-7 split): 45.8593% Banker, 44.6251% Player, 9.5156% Tie in 374 8D cards (4B).
  • DEP424 (5% Vig EV): -1.0587% Banker, -1.2343% Player, -14.3597% Tie, 0.9326 SD at 10% (4C).
  • DEP424 (8D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 28 Rank-7 stub count (4D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 4 Seven-Pip Card cards leave a 8D shoe by 10% depth (DEP424), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-7 stub counts (28/32 in 374 cards); Banker carries a -1.0587% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

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Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android