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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 8D · RANK-6 · 85% DEPTH

8-Deck Six-Pip Card Depletion at 85% Penetration (EZ Baccarat Audit DEP423)

Removing 31 of 32 Six-Pip Card (Rank-6) cards at 85% penetration of a 8-deck (416-card) shoe leaves 1 Rank-6 cards inside a 62-card stub (DEP423), producing 45.8537% Banker wins, 44.6308% Player wins, 9.5155% Ties, and a 1.0305% Banker house edge under EZ Baccarat.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-1.0305%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2229%
Rank-6 in 62-Card Stub
1/32
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9398
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P B P B P P B B P P B P
Big Eye Boy = = = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠
Small Road = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBBPBPBPPBBPPBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP423 (8D Rank-6 at 85% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP423)
62 / 416 Cards

85% penetration depth in 8D (eight-deck Macau, Las Vegas Strip, and Singapore standard shoes).

Rank-6 Remaining
1 of 32 Cards

31 6-pip cards (standing threshold and Banker 6 trigger) removed from the 8D pack.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-1.0305%

Resolved at 45.8537% Banker win rate under EZ Baccarat settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2229%

Resolved at 44.6308% Player win rate with 0.9398 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5155%

Produces a 14.3606% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP423.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP423

How Six-Pip Card Depletion at 85% Depth Impacts 8D (EZ Bar-7)

When a 8D shoe reaches 85% cut-card depth (62 of 416 cards undealt, state DEP423) with 31 Six-Pip Card cards removed and 1 remaining, Player wins 44.6308% (1.2229% edge) while Banker wins 45.8537% (1.0305% edge under EZ Baccarat).

Why does Rank-6 carry a -1.13 bps per-card effect in DEP423? Banker 6 only draws (DEP423) when Player pulls a third-card (8D-85%) 6 or 7; depleting 6s (DEP423·8D-85%) directly alters both Banker 6 draws and Super 6 settlement frequency, and at 85% penetration (1 Six-Pip Card cards left in 62 8D cards), at 85% cut-card penetration, (dep423-8d) only 15% of the pack (1/32) remains and winning 3-card banker (dep423-8d·1/32) 7 hands push.

State DEP423 (8D, 85% depth, 1/32 Rank-6 left, EZ Bar-7)
Wager / MetricState DEP423 Value8D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP423 Banker (EZ Bar-7)45.8537% (-1.0305% EV)45.8597%DEP423 8D 85% (1 Rank-6)
DEP423 Player (1:1)44.6308% (-1.2229% EV)44.6247%DEP423 62-card 8D stub (0.9398 SD)
DEP423 Tie (8:1)9.5155% (-14.3606% EV)9.5156%DEP423 Rank-6 (31 out, 1 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP423

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP423 · 8D)

Learners auditing DEP423 (8D at 85% depth, 1/32 Rank-6 in 62 stub cards) can verify that EZ Baccarat house hold (1.0305% Banker, 1.2229% Player, 14.3606% Tie) operates independently of prior Big Road streaks.

  • DEP423 (8D 85%): 62/416 cards with 1/32 Rank-6 (6A).
  • DEP423 (Rank-6 split): 45.8537% Banker, 44.6308% Player, 9.5155% Tie in 62 8D cards (6B).
  • DEP423 (EZ Bar-7 EV): -1.0305% Banker, -1.2229% Player, -14.3606% Tie, 0.9398 SD at 85% (6C).
  • DEP423 (8D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 1 Rank-6 stub count (6D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 31 Six-Pip Card cards leave a 8D shoe by 85% depth (DEP423), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-6 stub counts (1/32 in 62 cards); Banker carries a -1.0305% expectation under EZ Baccarat.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android