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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 8D · RANK-6 · 70% DEPTH

8-Deck Six-Pip Card Depletion at 70% Penetration (5% Audit DEP420)

Removing 26 of 32 Six-Pip Card (Rank-6) cards at 70% penetration of a 8-deck (416-card) shoe leaves 6 Rank-6 cards inside a 125-card stub (DEP420), producing 45.8550% Banker wins, 44.6294% Player wins, 9.5155% Ties, and a 1.0671% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0671%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2256%
Rank-6 in 125-Card Stub
6/32
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9383
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P B P P B B P B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPBPBPPBBPBPBPP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP420 (8D Rank-6 at 70% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP420)
125 / 416 Cards

70% penetration depth in 8D (eight-deck Macau, Las Vegas Strip, and Singapore standard shoes).

Rank-6 Remaining
6 of 32 Cards

26 6-pip cards (standing threshold and Banker 6 trigger) removed from the 8D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0671%

Resolved at 45.8550% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2256%

Resolved at 44.6294% Player win rate with 0.9383 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5155%

Produces a 14.3603% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP420.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP420

How Six-Pip Card Depletion at 70% Depth Impacts 8D (5% Vig)

Quantitative proof DEP420 documents 8D rank depletion at 70% depth: 26 exited Rank-6 cards leave 6 of 32 in the 125-card stub, generating 45.8550% Banker wins (-1.0671% EV under 5% Vig) and 44.6294% Player wins.

Comparing initial 416-card 8D weights against stub DEP420 (125 cards, 70% depth, 6 Rank-6 left) illustrates how banker 6 only draws (dep420) when player pulls a third-card (8d-70%) 6 or 7; depleting 6s (dep420·8d-70%) directly alters both banker 6 draws and super 6 settlement frequency (-1.13 bps slope, 1.0671% 5% Vig edge).

State DEP420 (8D, 70% depth, 6/32 Rank-6 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP420 Value8D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP420 Banker (5% Vig)45.8550% (-1.0671% EV)45.8597%DEP420 8D 70% (6 Rank-6)
DEP420 Player (1:1)44.6294% (-1.2256% EV)44.6247%DEP420 125-card 8D stub (0.9383 SD)
DEP420 Tie (8:1)9.5155% (-14.3603% EV)9.5156%DEP420 Rank-6 (26 out, 6 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP420

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP420 · 8D)

Statistical verification of DEP420 (8D, 70% penetration, 6 Six-Pip Card cards in 125 stub cards) demonstrates why single-rank depletion (26 Rank-6 dealt) shifts edges by basis points around -1.0671% (5% Vig).

  • DEP420 (8D 70%): 125/416 cards with 6/32 Rank-6 (5A).
  • DEP420 (Rank-6 split): 45.8550% Banker, 44.6294% Player, 9.5155% Tie in 125 8D cards (5B).
  • DEP420 (5% Vig EV): -1.0671% Banker, -1.2256% Player, -14.3603% Tie, 0.9383 SD at 70% (5C).
  • DEP420 (8D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 6 Rank-6 stub count (5D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 26 Six-Pip Card cards leave a 8D shoe by 70% depth (DEP420), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-6 stub counts (6/32 in 125 cards); Banker carries a -1.0671% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android