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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 8D · RANK-6 · 25% DEPTH

8-Deck Six-Pip Card Depletion at 25% Penetration (5% Audit DEP416)

Removing 9 of 32 Six-Pip Card (Rank-6) cards at 25% penetration of a 8-deck (416-card) shoe leaves 23 Rank-6 cards inside a 312-card stub (DEP416), producing 45.8585% Banker wins, 44.6260% Player wins, 9.5156% Ties, and a 1.0604% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0604%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2325%
Rank-6 in 312-Card Stub
23/32
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9338
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P B B P P B B P B P B
Big Eye Boy = = = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = =
Small Road = = = = = = ≠ = = = = =
Cockroach Pig = = = = = = ≠ = = ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPPBBPPBBPBTBPB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP416 (8D Rank-6 at 25% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP416)
312 / 416 Cards

25% penetration depth in 8D (eight-deck Macau, Las Vegas Strip, and Singapore standard shoes).

Rank-6 Remaining
23 of 32 Cards

9 6-pip cards (standing threshold and Banker 6 trigger) removed from the 8D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0604%

Resolved at 45.8585% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2325%

Resolved at 44.6260% Player win rate with 0.9338 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5156%

Produces a 14.3598% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP416.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP416

How Six-Pip Card Depletion at 25% Depth Impacts 8D (5% Vig)

Depletion matrix entry DEP416 pairs 8D (416 cards) at 25% penetration with 9 removed Six-Pip Card cards (23 left in 312 cards), fixing per-hand volatility at 0.9338 and Banker house hold at 1.0604% (5% Vig).

Combinatorial weighting in DEP416 (312 cards left from 416 at 25% depth) is governed by two rules: banker 6 only draws (dep416) when player pulls a third-card (8d-25%) 6 or 7; depleting 6s (dep416·8d-25%) directly alters both banker 6 draws and super 6 settlement frequency, and one-quarter of the shoe (dep416-8d) has exited the carrier and (23/32) winning banker wagers pay 0.95 (dep416-8d·23/32) to 1 after 5% house tax (-1.13 bps per Rank-6 removed).

State DEP416 (8D, 25% depth, 23/32 Rank-6 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP416 Value8D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP416 Banker (5% Vig)45.8585% (-1.0604% EV)45.8597%DEP416 8D 25% (23 Rank-6)
DEP416 Player (1:1)44.6260% (-1.2325% EV)44.6247%DEP416 312-card 8D stub (0.9338 SD)
DEP416 Tie (8:1)9.5156% (-14.3598% EV)9.5156%DEP416 Rank-6 (9 out, 23 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP416

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP416 · 8D)

Scoreboard literacy in DEP416 separates two independent concepts: 8D card-removal math (23 Rank-6 left in 312 cards at 25% depth, 0.9338 volatility) and derived-road comparison rules (Rule 1 column-depth checks and Rule 2 two-cell lookbacks).

  • DEP416 (8D 25%): 312/416 cards with 23/32 Rank-6 (6A).
  • DEP416 (Rank-6 split): 45.8585% Banker, 44.6260% Player, 9.5156% Tie in 312 8D cards (6B).
  • DEP416 (5% Vig EV): -1.0604% Banker, -1.2325% Player, -14.3598% Tie, 0.9338 SD at 25% (6C).
  • DEP416 (8D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 23 Rank-6 stub count (6D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 9 Six-Pip Card cards leave a 8D shoe by 25% depth (DEP416), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-6 stub counts (23/32 in 312 cards); Banker carries a -1.0604% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android