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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 8D · RANK-5 · 25% DEPTH

8-Deck Five-Pip Card Depletion at 25% Penetration (5% Audit DEP407)

Removing 9 of 32 Five-Pip Card (Rank-5) cards at 25% penetration of a 8-deck (416-card) shoe leaves 23 Rank-5 cards inside a 312-card stub (DEP407), producing 45.8588% Banker wins, 44.6256% Player wins, 9.5156% Ties, and a 1.0598% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0598%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2332%
Rank-5 in 312-Card Stub
23/32
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9335
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P B P B P P B B P P B P
Big Eye Boy = = = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠
Small Road = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBBPBPBPPBBPPBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP407 (8D Rank-5 at 25% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP407)
312 / 416 Cards

25% penetration depth in 8D (eight-deck Macau, Las Vegas Strip, and Singapore standard shoes).

Rank-5 Remaining
23 of 32 Cards

9 5-pip cards (final mandatory Player draw threshold) removed from the 8D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0598%

Resolved at 45.8588% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2332%

Resolved at 44.6256% Player win rate with 0.9335 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5156%

Produces a 14.3598% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP407.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP407

How Five-Pip Card Depletion at 25% Depth Impacts 8D (5% Vig)

Audit DEP407 evaluates a 8-deck (416-card) shoe at 25% penetration where 9 of 32 Five-Pip Card cards have exited, leaving 23 Rank-5 cards inside the 312-card stub with Banker EV at -1.0598% under 5%.

In six-card resolution tree DEP407 (8D at 25% depth, 312 cards left), fewer 5s in the (dep407-rank-5) stub reduce banker third-card improvements (312c) from 3 to 8 and (dep407-rank-5·312c) from 4 to 9; removing 9 of 32 Rank-5 cards (-0.84 bps weight) leaves Banker at -1.0598% EV under 5%.

State DEP407 (8D, 25% depth, 23/32 Rank-5 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP407 Value8D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP407 Banker (5% Vig)45.8588% (-1.0598% EV)45.8597%DEP407 8D 25% (23 Rank-5)
DEP407 Player (1:1)44.6256% (-1.2332% EV)44.6247%DEP407 312-card 8D stub (0.9335 SD)
DEP407 Tie (8:1)9.5156% (-14.3598% EV)9.5156%DEP407 Rank-5 (9 out, 23 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP407

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP407 · 8D)

Synthesizing DEP407 (8D at 25% depth, 23 Five-Pip Card cards left inside 312 stub cards): 5% rules produce a 1.0598% Banker edge, 1.2332% Player edge, 14.3598% Tie edge, and 0.9335 unit volatility.

  • DEP407 (8D 25%): 312/416 cards with 23/32 Rank-5 (3A).
  • DEP407 (Rank-5 split): 45.8588% Banker, 44.6256% Player, 9.5156% Tie in 312 8D cards (3B).
  • DEP407 (5% Vig EV): -1.0598% Banker, -1.2332% Player, -14.3598% Tie, 0.9335 SD at 25% (3C).
  • DEP407 (8D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 23 Rank-5 stub count (3D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 9 Five-Pip Card cards leave a 8D shoe by 25% depth (DEP407), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-5 stub counts (23/32 in 312 cards); Banker carries a -1.0598% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android