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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 8D · RANK-5 · 10% DEPTH

8-Deck Five-Pip Card Depletion at 10% Penetration (5% Audit DEP406)

Removing 4 of 32 Five-Pip Card (Rank-5) cards at 10% penetration of a 8-deck (416-card) shoe leaves 28 Rank-5 cards inside a 374-card stub (DEP406), producing 45.8593% Banker wins, 44.6251% Player wins, 9.5156% Ties, and a 1.0587% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0587%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2343%
Rank-5 in 374-Card Stub
28/32
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9320
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B B P P P B B P B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠
Small Road = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = =

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBBPPPBBPBTBPBPP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP406 (8D Rank-5 at 10% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 2 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP406)
374 / 416 Cards

10% penetration depth in 8D (eight-deck Macau, Las Vegas Strip, and Singapore standard shoes).

Rank-5 Remaining
28 of 32 Cards

4 5-pip cards (final mandatory Player draw threshold) removed from the 8D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0587%

Resolved at 45.8593% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2343%

Resolved at 44.6251% Player win rate with 0.9320 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5156%

Produces a 14.3597% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP406.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP406

How Five-Pip Card Depletion at 10% Depth Impacts 8D (5% Vig)

Quantitative proof DEP406 documents 8D rank depletion at 10% depth: 4 exited Rank-5 cards leave 28 of 32 in the 374-card stub, generating 45.8593% Banker wins (-1.0587% EV under 5% Vig) and 44.6251% Player wins.

When 4 Rank-5 cards exit a 8D shoe by 10% penetration (DEP406, 28 left in 374 cards), fewer 5s in the (dep406-rank-5) stub reduce banker third-card improvements (374c) from 3 to 8 and (dep406-rank-5·374c) from 4 to 9, combining a -0.84 bps rank vector with 5% settlement (-1.0587% Banker EV).

State DEP406 (8D, 10% depth, 28/32 Rank-5 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP406 Value8D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP406 Banker (5% Vig)45.8593% (-1.0587% EV)45.8597%DEP406 8D 10% (28 Rank-5)
DEP406 Player (1:1)44.6251% (-1.2343% EV)44.6247%DEP406 374-card 8D stub (0.9320 SD)
DEP406 Tie (8:1)9.5156% (-14.3597% EV)9.5156%DEP406 Rank-5 (4 out, 28 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP406

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP406 · 8D)

Synthesizing DEP406 (8D at 10% depth, 28 Five-Pip Card cards left inside 374 stub cards): 5% rules produce a 1.0587% Banker edge, 1.2343% Player edge, 14.3597% Tie edge, and 0.9320 unit volatility.

  • DEP406 (8D 10%): 374/416 cards with 28/32 Rank-5 (5A).
  • DEP406 (Rank-5 split): 45.8593% Banker, 44.6251% Player, 9.5156% Tie in 374 8D cards (5B).
  • DEP406 (5% Vig EV): -1.0587% Banker, -1.2343% Player, -14.3597% Tie, 0.9320 SD at 10% (5C).
  • DEP406 (8D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 28 Rank-5 stub count (5D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 4 Five-Pip Card cards leave a 8D shoe by 10% depth (DEP406), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-5 stub counts (28/32 in 374 cards); Banker carries a -1.0587% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android