Skip to main content
Baccarat Smart
  1. Home
  2. Combinatorial Math Hub
  3. 8D Rank-4 Depletion at 75% Depth (4% Vig)
COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 8D · RANK-4 · 75% DEPTH

8-Deck Four-Pip Card Depletion at 75% Penetration (4% Audit DEP403)

Removing 28 of 32 Four-Pip Card (Rank-4) cards at 75% penetration of a 8-deck (416-card) shoe leaves 4 Rank-4 cards inside a 104-card stub (DEP403), producing 45.8651% Banker wins, 44.6192% Player wins, 9.5157% Ties, and a 0.5887% Banker house edge under 4%.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5887%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2459%
Rank-4 in 104-Card Stub
4/32
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9382
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B P B B P P B P B P B B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBPBPBBPPBPBPBB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP403 (8D Rank-4 at 75% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP403)
104 / 416 Cards

75% penetration depth in 8D (eight-deck Macau, Las Vegas Strip, and Singapore standard shoes).

Rank-4 Remaining
4 of 32 Cards

28 4-pip cards (strongest pro-Banker removal sensitivity) removed from the 8D pack.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5887%

Resolved at 45.8651% Banker win rate under 4% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2459%

Resolved at 44.6192% Player win rate with 0.9382 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5157%

Produces a 14.3588% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP403.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP403

How Four-Pip Card Depletion at 75% Depth Impacts 8D (4% Vig)

Removing 28 of 32 Rank-4 cards by the 75% mark of a 8-deck shoe (DEP403, 104 cards left) leaves 4 Four-Pip Card cards and adjusts conditional probabilities to 45.8651% Banker, 44.6192% Player, and 9.5157% Tie under 4%.

For DEP403 (8-deck shoe, 75% dealt), rank 4 sits at (dep403) the exact pivot where banker (8d-75%) 5 begins drawing (player third (dep403·8d-75%) card 4–7) while banker 3 and 4 also draw. Holding 4 of 32 Rank-4 cards in a 104-card stub with +1.19 bps rank slope yields 45.8651% Banker, 44.6192% Player, and 9.5157% Tie.

State DEP403 (8D, 75% depth, 4/32 Rank-4 left, 4% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP403 Value8D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP403 Banker (4% Vig)45.8651% (-0.5887% EV)45.8597%DEP403 8D 75% (4 Rank-4)
DEP403 Player (1:1)44.6192% (-1.2459% EV)44.6247%DEP403 104-card 8D stub (0.9382 SD)
DEP403 Tie (8:1)9.5157% (-14.3588% EV)9.5156%DEP403 Rank-4 (28 out, 4 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP403

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP403 · 8D)

In DEP403, the 104-card 8D stub (75% penetration, 28 of 32 Rank-4 dealt) yields 45.8651% Banker, 44.6192% Player, and 9.5157% Tie outcomes with 0.9382 dispersion under 4% Vig.

  • DEP403 (8D 75%): 104/416 cards with 4/32 Rank-4 (4A).
  • DEP403 (Rank-4 split): 45.8651% Banker, 44.6192% Player, 9.5157% Tie in 104 8D cards (4B).
  • DEP403 (4% Vig EV): -0.5887% Banker, -1.2459% Player, -14.3588% Tie, 0.9382 SD at 75% (4C).
  • DEP403 (8D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 4 Rank-4 stub count (4D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 28 Four-Pip Card cards leave a 8D shoe by 75% depth (DEP403), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-4 stub counts (4/32 in 104 cards); Banker carries a -0.5887% expectation under 4%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android