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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 8D · RANK-4 · 60% DEPTH

8-Deck Four-Pip Card Depletion at 60% Penetration (EZ Baccarat Audit DEP401)

Removing 22 of 32 Four-Pip Card (Rank-4) cards at 60% penetration of a 8-deck (416-card) shoe leaves 10 Rank-4 cards inside a 166-card stub (DEP401), producing 45.8636% Banker wins, 44.6207% Player wins, 9.5157% Ties, and a 1.0105% Banker house edge under EZ Baccarat.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-1.0105%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2429%
Rank-4 in 166-Card Stub
10/32
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9367
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P P B B P B B P B P
Big Eye Boy = = = = = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ =
Small Road = = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = =

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBBPPBPTBPBBPBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP401 (8D Rank-4 at 60% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP401)
166 / 416 Cards

60% penetration depth in 8D (eight-deck Macau, Las Vegas Strip, and Singapore standard shoes).

Rank-4 Remaining
10 of 32 Cards

22 4-pip cards (strongest pro-Banker removal sensitivity) removed from the 8D pack.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-1.0105%

Resolved at 45.8636% Banker win rate under EZ Baccarat settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2429%

Resolved at 44.6207% Player win rate with 0.9367 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5157%

Produces a 14.3590% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP401.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP401

How Four-Pip Card Depletion at 60% Depth Impacts 8D (EZ Bar-7)

Across 4,998,398,275,503,360 initial 8D permutations, depletion node DEP401 narrows to a 166-card stub (60% depth) holding 10 of 32 Rank-4 cards, where Banker resolves at 45.8636% (-1.0105% EV) and Player at 44.6207% (-1.2429% EV).

Why does Rank-4 carry a +1.19 bps per-card effect in DEP401? Rank 4 sits at (DEP401) the exact pivot where Banker (8D-60%) 5 begins drawing (Player third (DEP401·8D-60%) card 4–7) while Banker 3 and 4 also draw, and at 60% penetration (10 Four-Pip Card cards left in 166 8D cards), banker wins pay 1:1 (dep401-8d) with zero commission except when (10/32) banker wins with a three-card (dep401-8d·10/32) total of 7, which pushes.

State DEP401 (8D, 60% depth, 10/32 Rank-4 left, EZ Bar-7)
Wager / MetricState DEP401 Value8D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP401 Banker (EZ Bar-7)45.8636% (-1.0105% EV)45.8597%DEP401 8D 60% (10 Rank-4)
DEP401 Player (1:1)44.6207% (-1.2429% EV)44.6247%DEP401 166-card 8D stub (0.9367 SD)
DEP401 Tie (8:1)9.5157% (-14.3590% EV)9.5156%DEP401 Rank-4 (22 out, 10 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP401

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP401 · 8D)

Scoreboard literacy in DEP401 separates two independent concepts: 8D card-removal math (10 Rank-4 left in 166 cards at 60% depth, 0.9367 volatility) and derived-road comparison rules (Rule 1 column-depth checks and Rule 2 two-cell lookbacks).

  • DEP401 (8D 60%): 166/416 cards with 10/32 Rank-4 (1A).
  • DEP401 (Rank-4 split): 45.8636% Banker, 44.6207% Player, 9.5157% Tie in 166 8D cards (1B).
  • DEP401 (EZ Bar-7 EV): -1.0105% Banker, -1.2429% Player, -14.3590% Tie, 0.9367 SD at 60% (1C).
  • DEP401 (8D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 10 Rank-4 stub count (1D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 22 Four-Pip Card cards leave a 8D shoe by 60% depth (DEP401), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-4 stub counts (10/32 in 166 cards); Banker carries a -1.0105% expectation under EZ Baccarat.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android