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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 8D · RANK-4 · 10% DEPTH

8-Deck Four-Pip Card Depletion at 10% Penetration (5% Audit DEP397)

Removing 4 of 32 Four-Pip Card (Rank-4) cards at 10% penetration of a 8-deck (416-card) shoe leaves 28 Rank-4 cards inside a 374-card stub (DEP397), producing 45.8602% Banker wins, 44.6242% Player wins, 9.5156% Ties, and a 1.0570% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0570%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2360%
Rank-4 in 374-Card Stub
28/32
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9317
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B B P P B P B B P P B P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ =

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBPBBPPBPBBPPBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP397 (8D Rank-4 at 10% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 5 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP397)
374 / 416 Cards

10% penetration depth in 8D (eight-deck Macau, Las Vegas Strip, and Singapore standard shoes).

Rank-4 Remaining
28 of 32 Cards

4 4-pip cards (strongest pro-Banker removal sensitivity) removed from the 8D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0570%

Resolved at 45.8602% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2360%

Resolved at 44.6242% Player win rate with 0.9317 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5156%

Produces a 14.3595% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP397.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP397

How Four-Pip Card Depletion at 10% Depth Impacts 8D (5% Vig)

At 10% penetration of a 416-card (8D) shoe, state DEP397 isolates 4 dealt Rank-4 cards (28 remaining inside 374 stub cards), yielding 45.8602% Banker wins, 44.6242% Player wins, and 0.9317 per-hand standard deviation under 5%.

Rank 4 sits at (DEP397) the exact pivot where Banker (8D-10%) 5 begins drawing (Player third (DEP397·8D-10%) card 4–7) while Banker 3 and 4 also draw. In state DEP397 (8D, 10% depth), each removed Rank-4 card applies a +1.19 bps baseline directional pressure before scaling to the 374-card remainder (28 Rank-4 left), while Winning Banker tickets pay (DEP397-8D) 0.95 units per unit staked (28/32) while 90% of the initial (DEP397-8D·28/32) shoe remains undealt.

State DEP397 (8D, 10% depth, 28/32 Rank-4 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP397 Value8D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP397 Banker (5% Vig)45.8602% (-1.0570% EV)45.8597%DEP397 8D 10% (28 Rank-4)
DEP397 Player (1:1)44.6242% (-1.2360% EV)44.6247%DEP397 374-card 8D stub (0.9317 SD)
DEP397 Tie (8:1)9.5156% (-14.3595% EV)9.5156%DEP397 Rank-4 (4 out, 28 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP397

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP397 · 8D)

For DEP397 (374 remaining cards in a 416-card 8D shoe at 10% depth), tracking all 4 exited Rank-4 cards moves Banker win rate to 45.8602% (-1.0570% EV, 5% Vig) and Player to 44.6242% (-1.2360% EV).

  • DEP397 (8D 10%): 374/416 cards with 28/32 Rank-4 (2A).
  • DEP397 (Rank-4 split): 45.8602% Banker, 44.6242% Player, 9.5156% Tie in 374 8D cards (2B).
  • DEP397 (5% Vig EV): -1.0570% Banker, -1.2360% Player, -14.3595% Tie, 0.9317 SD at 10% (2C).
  • DEP397 (8D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 28 Rank-4 stub count (2D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 4 Four-Pip Card cards leave a 8D shoe by 10% depth (DEP397), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-4 stub counts (28/32 in 374 cards); Banker carries a -1.0570% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android