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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 8D · RANK-3 · 75% DEPTH

8-Deck Three-Pip (Trey) Depletion at 75% Penetration (4% Audit DEP394)

Removing 28 of 32 Three-Pip (Trey) (Rank-3) cards at 75% penetration of a 8-deck (416-card) shoe leaves 4 Rank-3 cards inside a 104-card stub (DEP394), producing 45.8627% Banker wins, 44.6217% Player wins, 9.5157% Ties, and a 0.5935% Banker house edge under 4%.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5935%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2410%
Rank-3 in 104-Card Stub
4/32
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9379
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P P B B P B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPBTBPPBBPBPBPP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP394 (8D Rank-3 at 75% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP394)
104 / 416 Cards

75% penetration depth in 8D (eight-deck Macau, Las Vegas Strip, and Singapore standard shoes).

Rank-3 Remaining
4 of 32 Cards

28 3-pip cards across all four suits removed from the 8D pack.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5935%

Resolved at 45.8627% Banker win rate under 4% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2410%

Resolved at 44.6217% Player win rate with 0.9379 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5157%

Produces a 14.3588% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP394.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP394

How Three-Pip (Trey) Depletion at 75% Depth Impacts 8D (4% Vig)

In combinatorial record DEP394, depleting 28 Rank-3 cards across 75% of a 8D (416-card) pack leaves 4 Three-Pip (Trey) cards among 104 remaining cards, setting Banker win probability to 45.8627% and house edge to 0.5935% (4% Vig).

Because each removed 3-pip card (dep394-rank-3) modifies the boundary between banker (104c) standing on 5 and drawing (dep394-rank-3·104c) against mid-range player pulls, state DEP394 (75% 8D depth, 28 Rank-3 removed, 4 in 104 cards) registers a +0.65 bps rank derivative and 0.5935% Banker house edge (4% Vig).

State DEP394 (8D, 75% depth, 4/32 Rank-3 left, 4% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP394 Value8D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP394 Banker (4% Vig)45.8627% (-0.5935% EV)45.8597%DEP394 8D 75% (4 Rank-3)
DEP394 Player (1:1)44.6217% (-1.2410% EV)44.6247%DEP394 104-card 8D stub (0.9379 SD)
DEP394 Tie (8:1)9.5157% (-14.3588% EV)9.5156%DEP394 Rank-3 (28 out, 4 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP394

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP394 · 8D)

Across 100-hand session horizons at state DEP394 (8D 75% depth, 4/32 Rank-3 in 104 cards), single-hand dispersion (0.9379 SD) dominates the 0.5935% (4% Vig) Banker and 1.2410% Player expectation gap.

  • DEP394 (8D 75%): 104/416 cards with 4/32 Rank-3 (1A).
  • DEP394 (Rank-3 split): 45.8627% Banker, 44.6217% Player, 9.5157% Tie in 104 8D cards (1B).
  • DEP394 (4% Vig EV): -0.5935% Banker, -1.2410% Player, -14.3588% Tie, 0.9379 SD at 75% (1C).
  • DEP394 (8D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 4 Rank-3 stub count (1D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 28 Three-Pip (Trey) cards leave a 8D shoe by 75% depth (DEP394), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-3 stub counts (4/32 in 104 cards); Banker carries a -0.5935% expectation under 4%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android