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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 8D · RANK-3 · 70% DEPTH

8-Deck Three-Pip (Trey) Depletion at 70% Penetration (5% Audit DEP393)

Removing 26 of 32 Three-Pip (Trey) (Rank-3) cards at 70% penetration of a 8-deck (416-card) shoe leaves 6 Rank-3 cards inside a 125-card stub (DEP393), producing 45.8624% Banker wins, 44.6219% Player wins, 9.5157% Ties, and a 1.0527% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0527%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2404%
Rank-3 in 125-Card Stub
6/32
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9374
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P P B B P B P B B P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBPTBPPBBPBPBBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP393 (8D Rank-3 at 70% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP393)
125 / 416 Cards

70% penetration depth in 8D (eight-deck Macau, Las Vegas Strip, and Singapore standard shoes).

Rank-3 Remaining
6 of 32 Cards

26 3-pip cards across all four suits removed from the 8D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0527%

Resolved at 45.8624% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2404%

Resolved at 44.6219% Player win rate with 0.9374 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5157%

Produces a 14.3589% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP393.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP393

How Three-Pip (Trey) Depletion at 70% Depth Impacts 8D (5% Vig)

Audit DEP393 evaluates a 8-deck (416-card) shoe at 70% penetration where 26 of 32 Three-Pip (Trey) cards have exited, leaving 6 Rank-3 cards inside the 125-card stub with Banker EV at -1.0527% under 5%.

Tableau audit DEP393 confirms that banker total 4 draws (dep393) on player third-card 3, and (8d-70%) banker total 5 stands on (dep393·8d-70%) player third-card 3, creating asymmetric sensitivity. Inside the 125-card 8D stub (70% depth, 6/32 Rank-3 remaining, +0.65 bps slope), standard deviation is 0.9374 under 5% Vig.

State DEP393 (8D, 70% depth, 6/32 Rank-3 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP393 Value8D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP393 Banker (5% Vig)45.8624% (-1.0527% EV)45.8597%DEP393 8D 70% (6 Rank-3)
DEP393 Player (1:1)44.6219% (-1.2404% EV)44.6247%DEP393 125-card 8D stub (0.9374 SD)
DEP393 Tie (8:1)9.5157% (-14.3589% EV)9.5156%DEP393 Rank-3 (26 out, 6 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP393

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP393 · 8D)

Learners auditing DEP393 (8D at 70% depth, 6/32 Rank-3 in 125 stub cards) can verify that 5% house hold (1.0527% Banker, 1.2404% Player, 14.3589% Tie) operates independently of prior Big Road streaks.

  • DEP393 (8D 70%): 125/416 cards with 6/32 Rank-3 (3A).
  • DEP393 (Rank-3 split): 45.8624% Banker, 44.6219% Player, 9.5157% Tie in 125 8D cards (3B).
  • DEP393 (5% Vig EV): -1.0527% Banker, -1.2404% Player, -14.3589% Tie, 0.9374 SD at 70% (3C).
  • DEP393 (8D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 6 Rank-3 stub count (3D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 26 Three-Pip (Trey) cards leave a 8D shoe by 70% depth (DEP393), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-3 stub counts (6/32 in 125 cards); Banker carries a -1.0527% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android