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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 8D · RANK-2 · 70% DEPTH

8-Deck Two-Pip (Deuce) Depletion at 70% Penetration (5% Audit DEP384)

Removing 26 of 32 Two-Pip (Deuce) (Rank-2) cards at 70% penetration of a 8-deck (416-card) shoe leaves 6 Rank-2 cards inside a 125-card stub (DEP384), producing 45.8618% Banker wins, 44.6225% Player wins, 9.5157% Ties, and a 1.0537% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0537%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2394%
Rank-2 in 125-Card Stub
6/32
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9371
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P B B P P B B P B P B
Big Eye Boy = = = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = =
Small Road = = = = = = ≠ = = = = =
Cockroach Pig = = = = = = ≠ = = ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPPBBPPBBPBTBPB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP384 (8D Rank-2 at 70% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP384)
125 / 416 Cards

70% penetration depth in 8D (eight-deck Macau, Las Vegas Strip, and Singapore standard shoes).

Rank-2 Remaining
6 of 32 Cards

26 2-pip cards across all four suits removed from the 8D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0537%

Resolved at 45.8618% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2394%

Resolved at 44.6225% Player win rate with 0.9371 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5157%

Produces a 14.3589% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP384.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP384

How Two-Pip (Deuce) Depletion at 70% Depth Impacts 8D (5% Vig)

Under 5% settlement (5% Vig), combinatorial state DEP384 models a 8D carrier with 125 cards left (70% dealt) and 6/32 Two-Pip (Deuce) cards remaining, producing a 1.0537% Banker edge versus 1.2394% on Player.

Mechanical draw trees in DEP384 reflect how depleting 2s shifts the (dep384-rank-2) probability of banker converting a (125c) two-card 4 or 5 into (dep384-rank-2·125c) a winning three-card 6 or 7. At 70% 8D depth (6 Rank-2 left of 32 in 125 cards, +0.52 bps slope), with 70% of cards (dep384-8d) dealt and 30% remaining ahead (6/32) of the cut card, winning (dep384-8d·6/32) banker bets pay 0.95 to 1.

State DEP384 (8D, 70% depth, 6/32 Rank-2 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP384 Value8D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP384 Banker (5% Vig)45.8618% (-1.0537% EV)45.8597%DEP384 8D 70% (6 Rank-2)
DEP384 Player (1:1)44.6225% (-1.2394% EV)44.6247%DEP384 125-card 8D stub (0.9371 SD)
DEP384 Tie (8:1)9.5157% (-14.3589% EV)9.5156%DEP384 Rank-2 (26 out, 6 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP384

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP384 · 8D)

Learners auditing DEP384 (8D at 70% depth, 6/32 Rank-2 in 125 stub cards) can verify that 5% house hold (1.0537% Banker, 1.2394% Player, 14.3589% Tie) operates independently of prior Big Road streaks.

  • DEP384 (8D 70%): 125/416 cards with 6/32 Rank-2 (7A).
  • DEP384 (Rank-2 split): 45.8618% Banker, 44.6225% Player, 9.5157% Tie in 125 8D cards (7B).
  • DEP384 (5% Vig EV): -1.0537% Banker, -1.2394% Player, -14.3589% Tie, 0.9371 SD at 70% (7C).
  • DEP384 (8D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 6 Rank-2 stub count (7D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 26 Two-Pip (Deuce) cards leave a 8D shoe by 70% depth (DEP384), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-2 stub counts (6/32 in 125 cards); Banker carries a -1.0537% expectation under 5%.
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Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
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