Skip to main content
Baccarat Smart
  1. Home
  2. Combinatorial Math Hub
  3. 8D Ace-1 Depletion at 70% Depth (5% Vig)
COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 8D · ACE-1 · 70% DEPTH

8-Deck Ace (1-Point Pip) Depletion at 70% Penetration (5% Audit DEP375)

Removing 26 of 32 Ace (1-Point Pip) (Ace-1) cards at 70% penetration of a 8-deck (416-card) shoe leaves 6 Ace-1 cards inside a 125-card stub (DEP375), producing 45.8615% Banker wins, 44.6228% Player wins, 9.5156% Ties, and a 1.0544% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0544%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2387%
Ace-1 in 125-Card Stub
6/32
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9368
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P B P B P P B B P P B P
Big Eye Boy = = = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠
Small Road = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBBPBPBPPBBPPBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP375 (8D Ace-1 at 70% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP375)
125 / 416 Cards

70% penetration depth in 8D (eight-deck Macau, Las Vegas Strip, and Singapore standard shoes).

Ace-1 Remaining
6 of 32 Cards

26 Ace cards valued at 1 modulo-10 point removed from the 8D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0544%

Resolved at 45.8615% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2387%

Resolved at 44.6228% Player win rate with 0.9368 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5156%

Produces a 14.3592% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP375.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP375

How Ace (1-Point Pip) Depletion at 70% Depth Impacts 8D (5% Vig)

Removing 26 of 32 Ace-1 cards by the 70% mark of a 8-deck shoe (DEP375, 125 cards left) leaves 6 Ace (1-Point Pip) cards and adjusts conditional probabilities to 45.8615% Banker, 44.6228% Player, and 9.5156% Tie under 5%.

When 26 Ace-1 cards exit a 8D shoe by 70% penetration (DEP375, 6 left in 125 cards), when fewer aces remain, (dep375-ace-1) player 7 and 8 third-card (125c) transitions from 6 and 7 (dep375-ace-1·125c) occur less often during six-card resolutions, combining a +0.44 bps rank vector with 5% settlement (-1.0544% Banker EV).

State DEP375 (8D, 70% depth, 6/32 Ace-1 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP375 Value8D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP375 Banker (5% Vig)45.8615% (-1.0544% EV)45.8597%DEP375 8D 70% (6 Ace-1)
DEP375 Player (1:1)44.6228% (-1.2387% EV)44.6247%DEP375 125-card 8D stub (0.9368 SD)
DEP375 Tie (8:1)9.5156% (-14.3592% EV)9.5156%DEP375 Ace-1 (26 out, 6 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP375

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP375 · 8D)

Comparing DEP375 (70% 8D depth, 26 Ace-1 removed, 6 remaining in 125 cards) against fresh-shoe baselines shows how finite-stub variance (0.9368 SD) coexists with a 1.0544% 5% Banker house edge.

  • DEP375 (8D 70%): 125/416 cards with 6/32 Ace-1 (4A).
  • DEP375 (Ace-1 split): 45.8615% Banker, 44.6228% Player, 9.5156% Tie in 125 8D cards (4B).
  • DEP375 (5% Vig EV): -1.0544% Banker, -1.2387% Player, -14.3592% Tie, 0.9368 SD at 70% (4C).
  • DEP375 (8D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 6 Ace-1 stub count (4D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 26 Ace (1-Point Pip) cards leave a 8D shoe by 70% depth (DEP375), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Ace-1 stub counts (6/32 in 125 cards); Banker carries a -1.0544% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android