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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 8D · ACE-1 · 50% DEPTH

8-Deck Ace (1-Point Pip) Depletion at 50% Penetration (Super 6 Audit DEP373)

Removing 18 of 32 Ace (1-Point Pip) (Ace-1) cards at 50% penetration of a 8-deck (416-card) shoe leaves 14 Ace-1 cards inside a 208-card stub (DEP373), producing 45.8608% Banker wins, 44.6236% Player wins, 9.5156% Ties, and a 1.4557% Banker house edge under Super 6.

Banker EV (Super 6)
-1.4557%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2373%
Ace-1 in 208-Card Stub
14/32
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9348
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P P B B B P P B B P B B P
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠
Small Road = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPPBBBPPBPTBPBBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP373 (8D Ace-1 at 50% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 2 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP373)
208 / 416 Cards

50% penetration depth in 8D (eight-deck Macau, Las Vegas Strip, and Singapore standard shoes).

Ace-1 Remaining
14 of 32 Cards

18 Ace cards valued at 1 modulo-10 point removed from the 8D pack.

Banker EV (Super 6)
-1.4557%

Resolved at 45.8608% Banker win rate under Super 6 settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2373%

Resolved at 44.6236% Player win rate with 0.9348 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5156%

Produces a 14.3594% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP373.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP373

How Ace (1-Point Pip) Depletion at 50% Depth Impacts 8D (Super 6)

Across 4,998,398,275,503,360 initial 8D permutations, depletion node DEP373 narrows to a 208-card stub (50% depth) holding 14 of 32 Ace-1 cards, where Banker resolves at 45.8608% (-1.4557% EV) and Player at 44.6236% (-1.2373% EV).

Mechanical draw trees in DEP373 reflect how when fewer aces remain, (dep373-ace-1) player 7 and 8 third-card (208c) transitions from 6 and 7 (dep373-ace-1·208c) occur less often during six-card resolutions. At 50% 8D depth (14 Ace-1 left of 32 in 208 cards, +0.44 bps slope), banker wins on totals (dep373-8d) 1–5 and 7–9 pay 1:1 (14/32) while any winning 2-card or (dep373-8d·14/32) 3-card banker 6 pays 50 cents on the dollar.

State DEP373 (8D, 50% depth, 14/32 Ace-1 left, Super 6)
Wager / MetricState DEP373 Value8D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP373 Banker (Super 6)45.8608% (-1.4557% EV)45.8597%DEP373 8D 50% (14 Ace-1)
DEP373 Player (1:1)44.6236% (-1.2373% EV)44.6247%DEP373 208-card 8D stub (0.9348 SD)
DEP373 Tie (8:1)9.5156% (-14.3594% EV)9.5156%DEP373 Ace-1 (18 out, 14 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP373

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP373 · 8D)

For DEP373 (208 remaining cards in a 416-card 8D shoe at 50% depth), tracking all 18 exited Ace-1 cards moves Banker win rate to 45.8608% (-1.4557% EV, Super 6) and Player to 44.6236% (-1.2373% EV).

  • DEP373 (8D 50%): 208/416 cards with 14/32 Ace-1 (1A).
  • DEP373 (Ace-1 split): 45.8608% Banker, 44.6236% Player, 9.5156% Tie in 208 8D cards (1B).
  • DEP373 (Super 6 EV): -1.4557% Banker, -1.2373% Player, -14.3594% Tie, 0.9348 SD at 50% (1C).
  • DEP373 (8D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 14 Ace-1 stub count (1D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 18 Ace (1-Point Pip) cards leave a 8D shoe by 50% depth (DEP373), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Ace-1 stub counts (14/32 in 208 cards); Banker carries a -1.4557% expectation under Super 6.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android