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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 8D · ACE-1 · 10% DEPTH

8-Deck Ace (1-Point Pip) Depletion at 10% Penetration (5% Audit DEP370)

Removing 4 of 32 Ace (1-Point Pip) (Ace-1) cards at 10% penetration of a 8-deck (416-card) shoe leaves 28 Ace-1 cards inside a 374-card stub (DEP370), producing 45.8599% Banker wins, 44.6245% Player wins, 9.5156% Ties, and a 1.0576% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0576%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2354%
Ace-1 in 374-Card Stub
28/32
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9308
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P B B P P B B P B P B B P
Big Eye Boy = = = = = = ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = =
Small Road = = = = = = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPPBBPPBBPBPBBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP370 (8D Ace-1 at 10% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP370)
374 / 416 Cards

10% penetration depth in 8D (eight-deck Macau, Las Vegas Strip, and Singapore standard shoes).

Ace-1 Remaining
28 of 32 Cards

4 Ace cards valued at 1 modulo-10 point removed from the 8D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0576%

Resolved at 45.8599% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2354%

Resolved at 44.6245% Player win rate with 0.9308 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5156%

Produces a 14.3596% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP370.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP370

How Ace (1-Point Pip) Depletion at 10% Depth Impacts 8D (5% Vig)

Under 5% settlement (5% Vig), combinatorial state DEP370 models a 8D carrier with 374 cards left (10% dealt) and 28/32 Ace (1-Point Pip) cards remaining, producing a 1.0576% Banker edge versus 1.2354% on Player.

Why does Ace-1 carry a +0.44 bps per-card effect in DEP370? Removing Aces slightly favors (DEP370) Banker because Banker stands on (8D-10%) 6 against Player third-card Ace (DEP370·8D-10%) while Player must draw on 0–5, and at 10% penetration (28 Ace (1-Point Pip) cards left in 374 8D cards), winning banker tickets pay (dep370-8d) 0.95 units per unit staked (28/32) while 90% of the initial (dep370-8d·28/32) shoe remains undealt.

State DEP370 (8D, 10% depth, 28/32 Ace-1 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP370 Value8D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP370 Banker (5% Vig)45.8599% (-1.0576% EV)45.8597%DEP370 8D 10% (28 Ace-1)
DEP370 Player (1:1)44.6245% (-1.2354% EV)44.6247%DEP370 374-card 8D stub (0.9308 SD)
DEP370 Tie (8:1)9.5156% (-14.3596% EV)9.5156%DEP370 Ace-1 (4 out, 28 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP370

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP370 · 8D)

Across 100-hand session horizons at state DEP370 (8D 10% depth, 28/32 Ace-1 in 374 cards), single-hand dispersion (0.9308 SD) dominates the 1.0576% (5% Vig) Banker and 1.2354% Player expectation gap.

  • DEP370 (8D 10%): 374/416 cards with 28/32 Ace-1 (7A).
  • DEP370 (Ace-1 split): 45.8599% Banker, 44.6245% Player, 9.5156% Tie in 374 8D cards (7B).
  • DEP370 (5% Vig EV): -1.0576% Banker, -1.2354% Player, -14.3596% Tie, 0.9308 SD at 10% (7C).
  • DEP370 (8D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 28 Ace-1 stub count (7D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 4 Ace (1-Point Pip) cards leave a 8D shoe by 10% depth (DEP370), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Ace-1 stub counts (28/32 in 374 cards); Banker carries a -1.0576% expectation under 5%.
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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android