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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 6D · RANK-9 · 40% DEPTH

6-Deck Nine-Pip Card Depletion at 40% Penetration (4% Audit DEP354)

Removing 11 of 24 Nine-Pip Card (Rank-9) cards at 40% penetration of a 6-deck (312-card) shoe leaves 13 Rank-9 cards inside a 187-card stub (DEP354), producing 45.8644% Banker wins, 44.5908% Player wins, 9.5449% Ties, and a 0.5610% Banker house edge under 4%.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5610%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2736%
Rank-9 in 187-Card Stub
13/24
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9362
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P B B P P B B P B P B B P
Big Eye Boy = = = = = = ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = =
Small Road = = = = = = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPPBBPPBBPBPBBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP354 (6D Rank-9 at 40% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP354)
187 / 312 Cards

40% penetration depth in 6D (six-deck Mini-Baccarat and Midi-Baccarat North American floors).

Rank-9 Remaining
13 of 24 Cards

11 9-pip cards (top Natural 9 generator) removed from the 6D pack.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5610%

Resolved at 45.8644% Banker win rate under 4% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2736%

Resolved at 44.5908% Player win rate with 0.9362 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5449%

Produces a 14.0961% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP354.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP354

How Nine-Pip Card Depletion at 40% Depth Impacts 6D (4% Vig)

Finite-shoe specification DEP354 tracks Rank-9 removal at 40% depth in 6-deck play: with 13 of 24 Nine-Pip Card cards left in the 187-card stub, Tie incidence is 9.5449% and Banker expectation settles at -0.5610% (4% Vig).

In six-card resolution tree DEP354 (6D at 40% depth, 187 cards left), when 9s are depleted (dep354-rank-9) late in the shoe, more (187c) hands bypass four-card natural resolution (dep354-rank-9·187c) and enter the five- and six-card tableau; removing 11 of 24 Rank-9 cards (-0.23 bps weight) leaves Banker at -0.5610% EV under 4%.

State DEP354 (6D, 40% depth, 13/24 Rank-9 left, 4% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP354 Value6D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP354 Banker (4% Vig)45.8644% (-0.5610% EV)45.8648%DEP354 6D 40% (13 Rank-9)
DEP354 Player (1:1)44.5908% (-1.2736% EV)44.5903%DEP354 187-card 6D stub (0.9362 SD)
DEP354 Tie (8:1)9.5449% (-14.0961% EV)9.5449%DEP354 Rank-9 (11 out, 13 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP354

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP354 · 6D)

Learners auditing DEP354 (6D at 40% depth, 13/24 Rank-9 in 187 stub cards) can verify that 4% house hold (0.5610% Banker, 1.2736% Player, 14.0961% Tie) operates independently of prior Big Road streaks.

  • DEP354 (6D 40%): 187/312 cards with 13/24 Rank-9 (4A).
  • DEP354 (Rank-9 split): 45.8644% Banker, 44.5908% Player, 9.5449% Tie in 187 6D cards (4B).
  • DEP354 (4% Vig EV): -0.5610% Banker, -1.2736% Player, -14.0961% Tie, 0.9362 SD at 40% (4C).
  • DEP354 (6D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 13 Rank-9 stub count (4D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 11 Nine-Pip Card cards leave a 6D shoe by 40% depth (DEP354), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-9 stub counts (13/24 in 187 cards); Banker carries a -0.5610% expectation under 4%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android