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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 6D · RANK-5 · 10% DEPTH

6-Deck Five-Pip Card Depletion at 10% Penetration (5% Audit DEP316)

Removing 3 of 24 Five-Pip Card (Rank-5) cards at 10% penetration of a 6-deck (312-card) shoe leaves 21 Rank-5 cards inside a 281-card stub (DEP316), producing 45.8644% Banker wins, 44.5907% Player wins, 9.5449% Ties, and a 1.0195% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0195%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2738%
Rank-5 in 281-Card Stub
21/24
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9320
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P P P B B B B P P B B P B
Big Eye Boy = = = ≠ = ≠ = = = = = ≠ = = ≠
Small Road = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPPPPBBBBPPBBPB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP316 (6D Rank-5 at 10% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP316)
281 / 312 Cards

10% penetration depth in 6D (six-deck Mini-Baccarat and Midi-Baccarat North American floors).

Rank-5 Remaining
21 of 24 Cards

3 5-pip cards (final mandatory Player draw threshold) removed from the 6D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0195%

Resolved at 45.8644% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2738%

Resolved at 44.5907% Player win rate with 0.9320 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5449%

Produces a 14.0960% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP316.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP316

How Five-Pip Card Depletion at 10% Depth Impacts 6D (5% Vig)

Within six-deck Mini-Baccarat and Midi-Baccarat North American floors, profile DEP316 examines 10% shoe depletion (281 of 312 cards remaining) after 3 Rank-5 cards exit, leaving 21 Five-Pip Card cards and a 1.0195% Banker house hold under 5%.

Combinatorial weighting in DEP316 (281 cards left from 312 at 10% depth) is governed by two rules: because player draws on (dep316) two-card 5 and stands on (6d-10%) 6, while banker 3, 4, (dep316·6d-10%) and 5 all draw against a player third-card 5, rank 5 favors player when depleted, and winning banker tickets pay (dep316-6d) 0.95 units per unit staked (21/24) while 90% of the initial (dep316-6d·21/24) shoe remains undealt (-0.84 bps per Rank-5 removed).

State DEP316 (6D, 10% depth, 21/24 Rank-5 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP316 Value6D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP316 Banker (5% Vig)45.8644% (-1.0195% EV)45.8648%DEP316 6D 10% (21 Rank-5)
DEP316 Player (1:1)44.5907% (-1.2738% EV)44.5903%DEP316 281-card 6D stub (0.9320 SD)
DEP316 Tie (8:1)9.5449% (-14.0960% EV)9.5449%DEP316 Rank-5 (3 out, 21 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP316

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP316 · 6D)

Cut-card protocol at 10% depth in DEP316 (6D, 281 stub cards containing 21 Rank-5 cards) ensures the shoe reshuffles long before 5% house hold (1.0195% Banker / 1.2738% Player) is overturned.

  • DEP316 (6D 10%): 281/312 cards with 21/24 Rank-5 (3A).
  • DEP316 (Rank-5 split): 45.8644% Banker, 44.5907% Player, 9.5449% Tie in 281 6D cards (3B).
  • DEP316 (5% Vig EV): -1.0195% Banker, -1.2738% Player, -14.0960% Tie, 0.9320 SD at 10% (3C).
  • DEP316 (6D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 21 Rank-5 stub count (3D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 3 Five-Pip Card cards leave a 6D shoe by 10% depth (DEP316), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-5 stub counts (21/24 in 281 cards); Banker carries a -1.0195% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android