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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 6D · RANK-4 · 85% DEPTH

6-Deck Four-Pip Card Depletion at 85% Penetration (EZ Baccarat Audit DEP315)

Removing 23 of 24 Four-Pip Card (Rank-4) cards at 85% penetration of a 6-deck (312-card) shoe leaves 1 Rank-4 cards inside a 47-card stub (DEP315), producing 45.8710% Banker wins, 44.5840% Player wins, 9.5450% Ties, and a 0.9663% Banker house edge under EZ Baccarat.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-0.9663%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2871%
Rank-4 in 47-Card Stub
1/24
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9392
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B B B P P P P B B P P B P
Big Eye Boy = = = ≠ = ≠ = = = = = ≠ = = ≠
Small Road = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBBBBPPPPBBPPBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP315 (6D Rank-4 at 85% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP315)
47 / 312 Cards

85% penetration depth in 6D (six-deck Mini-Baccarat and Midi-Baccarat North American floors).

Rank-4 Remaining
1 of 24 Cards

23 4-pip cards (strongest pro-Banker removal sensitivity) removed from the 6D pack.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-0.9663%

Resolved at 45.8710% Banker win rate under EZ Baccarat settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2871%

Resolved at 44.5840% Player win rate with 0.9392 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5450%

Produces a 14.0950% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP315.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP315

How Four-Pip Card Depletion at 85% Depth Impacts 6D (EZ Bar-7)

Card-removal benchmark DEP315 measures Four-Pip Card (Rank-4) scarcity at 85% depth in a 6-deck shoe: 23 removed ranks leave 1 in the 47-card remainder, shifting Banker win share to 45.8710% (0.9663% edge, EZ Bar-7).

Mechanical draw trees in DEP315 reflect how removing 4s produces the (dep315-rank-4) single largest per-card shift toward (47c) banker (and away from player) (dep315-rank-4·47c) of any rank in the shoe. At 85% 6D depth (1 Rank-4 left of 24 in 47 cards, +1.19 bps slope), at 85% cut-card penetration, (dep315-6d) only 15% of the pack (1/24) remains and winning 3-card banker (dep315-6d·1/24) 7 hands push.

State DEP315 (6D, 85% depth, 1/24 Rank-4 left, EZ Bar-7)
Wager / MetricState DEP315 Value6D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP315 Banker (EZ Bar-7)45.8710% (-0.9663% EV)45.8648%DEP315 6D 85% (1 Rank-4)
DEP315 Player (1:1)44.5840% (-1.2871% EV)44.5903%DEP315 47-card 6D stub (0.9392 SD)
DEP315 Tie (8:1)9.5450% (-14.0950% EV)9.5449%DEP315 Rank-4 (23 out, 1 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP315

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP315 · 6D)

Comparing DEP315 (85% 6D depth, 23 Rank-4 removed, 1 remaining in 47 cards) against fresh-shoe baselines shows how finite-stub variance (0.9392 SD) coexists with a 0.9663% EZ Baccarat Banker house edge.

  • DEP315 (6D 85%): 47/312 cards with 1/24 Rank-4 (5A).
  • DEP315 (Rank-4 split): 45.8710% Banker, 44.5840% Player, 9.5450% Tie in 47 6D cards (5B).
  • DEP315 (EZ Bar-7 EV): -0.9663% Banker, -1.2871% Player, -14.0950% Tie, 0.9392 SD at 85% (5C).
  • DEP315 (6D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 1 Rank-4 stub count (5D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 23 Four-Pip Card cards leave a 6D shoe by 85% depth (DEP315), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-4 stub counts (1/24 in 47 cards); Banker carries a -0.9663% expectation under EZ Baccarat.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android