Skip to main content
Baccarat Smart
  1. Home
  2. Combinatorial Math Hub
  3. 6D Rank-4 Depletion at 75% Depth (4% Vig)
COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 6D · RANK-4 · 75% DEPTH

6-Deck Four-Pip Card Depletion at 75% Penetration (4% Audit DEP313)

Removing 21 of 24 Four-Pip Card (Rank-4) cards at 75% penetration of a 6-deck (312-card) shoe leaves 3 Rank-4 cards inside a 78-card stub (DEP313), producing 45.8702% Banker wins, 44.5848% Player wins, 9.5450% Ties, and a 0.5494% Banker house edge under 4%.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5494%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2854%
Rank-4 in 78-Card Stub
3/24
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9382
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P P B B P B P B B P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBPTBPPBBPBPBBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP313 (6D Rank-4 at 75% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP313)
78 / 312 Cards

75% penetration depth in 6D (six-deck Mini-Baccarat and Midi-Baccarat North American floors).

Rank-4 Remaining
3 of 24 Cards

21 4-pip cards (strongest pro-Banker removal sensitivity) removed from the 6D pack.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5494%

Resolved at 45.8702% Banker win rate under 4% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2854%

Resolved at 44.5848% Player win rate with 0.9382 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5450%

Produces a 14.0951% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP313.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP313

How Four-Pip Card Depletion at 75% Depth Impacts 6D (4% Vig)

At 75% penetration of a 312-card (6D) shoe, state DEP313 isolates 21 dealt Rank-4 cards (3 remaining inside 78 stub cards), yielding 45.8702% Banker wins, 44.5848% Player wins, and 0.9382 per-hand standard deviation under 4%.

Tracking DEP313 across 78 remaining 6D cards (75% depth) shows that removing 4s produces the (dep313-rank-4) single largest per-card shift toward (78c) banker (and away from player) (dep313-rank-4·78c) of any rank in the shoe. With 21 Rank-4 cards gone (+1.19 bps unit sensitivity), Banker expectation is -0.5494% (4% Vig) vs -1.2854% on Player.

State DEP313 (6D, 75% depth, 3/24 Rank-4 left, 4% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP313 Value6D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP313 Banker (4% Vig)45.8702% (-0.5494% EV)45.8648%DEP313 6D 75% (3 Rank-4)
DEP313 Player (1:1)44.5848% (-1.2854% EV)44.5903%DEP313 78-card 6D stub (0.9382 SD)
DEP313 Tie (8:1)9.5450% (-14.0951% EV)9.5449%DEP313 Rank-4 (21 out, 3 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP313

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP313 · 6D)

For DEP313 (78 remaining cards in a 312-card 6D shoe at 75% depth), tracking all 21 exited Rank-4 cards moves Banker win rate to 45.8702% (-0.5494% EV, 4% Vig) and Player to 44.5848% (-1.2854% EV).

  • DEP313 (6D 75%): 78/312 cards with 3/24 Rank-4 (2A).
  • DEP313 (Rank-4 split): 45.8702% Banker, 44.5848% Player, 9.5450% Tie in 78 6D cards (2B).
  • DEP313 (4% Vig EV): -0.5494% Banker, -1.2854% Player, -14.0951% Tie, 0.9382 SD at 75% (2C).
  • DEP313 (6D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 3 Rank-4 stub count (2D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 21 Four-Pip Card cards leave a 6D shoe by 75% depth (DEP313), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-4 stub counts (3/24 in 78 cards); Banker carries a -0.5494% expectation under 4%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android