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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 6D · RANK-4 · 40% DEPTH

6-Deck Four-Pip Card Depletion at 40% Penetration (4% Audit DEP309)

Removing 11 of 24 Four-Pip Card (Rank-4) cards at 40% penetration of a 6-deck (312-card) shoe leaves 13 Rank-4 cards inside a 187-card stub (DEP309), producing 45.8671% Banker wins, 44.5879% Player wins, 9.5449% Ties, and a 0.5555% Banker house edge under 4%.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5555%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2792%
Rank-4 in 187-Card Stub
13/24
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9347
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P P B B B P P B B P B B P
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠
Small Road = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPPBBBPPBPTBPBBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP309 (6D Rank-4 at 40% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 2 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP309)
187 / 312 Cards

40% penetration depth in 6D (six-deck Mini-Baccarat and Midi-Baccarat North American floors).

Rank-4 Remaining
13 of 24 Cards

11 4-pip cards (strongest pro-Banker removal sensitivity) removed from the 6D pack.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5555%

Resolved at 45.8671% Banker win rate under 4% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2792%

Resolved at 44.5879% Player win rate with 0.9347 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5449%

Produces a 14.0955% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP309.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP309

How Four-Pip Card Depletion at 40% Depth Impacts 6D (4% Vig)

Audit DEP309 evaluates a 6-deck (312-card) shoe at 40% penetration where 11 of 24 Four-Pip Card cards have exited, leaving 13 Rank-4 cards inside the 187-card stub with Banker EV at -0.5555% under 4%.

Removing 4s produces the (DEP309-Rank-4) single largest per-card shift toward (187c) Banker (and away from Player) (DEP309-Rank-4·187c) of any rank in the shoe. Because 11 of 24 Four-Pip Card cards are absent in DEP309 at 40% 6D penetration (187 cards left), per-card sensitivity (+1.19 bps) interacts directly with mid-early 40% penetration depth (DEP309) under reduced 4% Banker commission (Rank-4) (0.96:1 payout).

State DEP309 (6D, 40% depth, 13/24 Rank-4 left, 4% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP309 Value6D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP309 Banker (4% Vig)45.8671% (-0.5555% EV)45.8648%DEP309 6D 40% (13 Rank-4)
DEP309 Player (1:1)44.5879% (-1.2792% EV)44.5903%DEP309 187-card 6D stub (0.9347 SD)
DEP309 Tie (8:1)9.5449% (-14.0955% EV)9.5449%DEP309 Rank-4 (11 out, 13 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP309

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP309 · 6D)

Learners auditing DEP309 (6D at 40% depth, 13/24 Rank-4 in 187 stub cards) can verify that 4% house hold (0.5555% Banker, 1.2792% Player, 14.0955% Tie) operates independently of prior Big Road streaks.

  • DEP309 (6D 40%): 187/312 cards with 13/24 Rank-4 (3A).
  • DEP309 (Rank-4 split): 45.8671% Banker, 44.5879% Player, 9.5449% Tie in 187 6D cards (3B).
  • DEP309 (4% Vig EV): -0.5555% Banker, -1.2792% Player, -14.0955% Tie, 0.9347 SD at 40% (3C).
  • DEP309 (6D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 13 Rank-4 stub count (3D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 11 Four-Pip Card cards leave a 6D shoe by 40% depth (DEP309), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-4 stub counts (13/24 in 187 cards); Banker carries a -0.5555% expectation under 4%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android