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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 6D · RANK-4 · 25% DEPTH

6-Deck Four-Pip Card Depletion at 25% Penetration (5% Audit DEP308)

Removing 7 of 24 Four-Pip Card (Rank-4) cards at 25% penetration of a 6-deck (312-card) shoe leaves 17 Rank-4 cards inside a 234-card stub (DEP308), producing 45.8661% Banker wins, 44.5889% Player wins, 9.5449% Ties, and a 1.0161% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0161%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2772%
Rank-4 in 234-Card Stub
17/24
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9332
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P B P P B B P B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPBPBPPBBPBPBPP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP308 (6D Rank-4 at 25% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP308)
234 / 312 Cards

25% penetration depth in 6D (six-deck Mini-Baccarat and Midi-Baccarat North American floors).

Rank-4 Remaining
17 of 24 Cards

7 4-pip cards (strongest pro-Banker removal sensitivity) removed from the 6D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0161%

Resolved at 45.8661% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2772%

Resolved at 44.5889% Player win rate with 0.9332 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5449%

Produces a 14.0957% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP308.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP308

How Four-Pip Card Depletion at 25% Depth Impacts 6D (5% Vig)

Quantitative proof DEP308 documents 6D rank depletion at 25% depth: 7 exited Rank-4 cards leave 17 of 24 in the 234-card stub, generating 45.8661% Banker wins (-1.0161% EV under 5% Vig) and 44.5889% Player wins.

Because removing 4s produces the (dep308-rank-4) single largest per-card shift toward (234c) banker (and away from player) (dep308-rank-4·234c) of any rank in the shoe, state DEP308 (25% 6D depth, 7 Rank-4 removed, 17 in 234 cards) registers a +1.19 bps rank derivative and 1.0161% Banker house edge (5% Vig).

State DEP308 (6D, 25% depth, 17/24 Rank-4 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP308 Value6D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP308 Banker (5% Vig)45.8661% (-1.0161% EV)45.8648%DEP308 6D 25% (17 Rank-4)
DEP308 Player (1:1)44.5889% (-1.2772% EV)44.5903%DEP308 234-card 6D stub (0.9332 SD)
DEP308 Tie (8:1)9.5449% (-14.0957% EV)9.5449%DEP308 Rank-4 (7 out, 17 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP308

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP308 · 6D)

Learners auditing DEP308 (6D at 25% depth, 17/24 Rank-4 in 234 stub cards) can verify that 5% house hold (1.0161% Banker, 1.2772% Player, 14.0957% Tie) operates independently of prior Big Road streaks.

  • DEP308 (6D 25%): 234/312 cards with 17/24 Rank-4 (5A).
  • DEP308 (Rank-4 split): 45.8661% Banker, 44.5889% Player, 9.5449% Tie in 234 6D cards (5B).
  • DEP308 (5% Vig EV): -1.0161% Banker, -1.2772% Player, -14.0957% Tie, 0.9332 SD at 25% (5C).
  • DEP308 (6D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 17 Rank-4 stub count (5D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 7 Four-Pip Card cards leave a 6D shoe by 25% depth (DEP308), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-4 stub counts (17/24 in 234 cards); Banker carries a -1.0161% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android