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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 6D · RANK-3 · 75% DEPTH

6-Deck Three-Pip (Trey) Depletion at 75% Penetration (4% Audit DEP304)

Removing 21 of 24 Three-Pip (Trey) (Rank-3) cards at 75% penetration of a 6-deck (312-card) shoe leaves 3 Rank-3 cards inside a 78-card stub (DEP304), producing 45.8678% Banker wins, 44.5873% Player wins, 9.5450% Ties, and a 0.5542% Banker house edge under 4%.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5542%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2805%
Rank-3 in 78-Card Stub
3/24
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9379
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P B B P P B B P B P B
Big Eye Boy = = = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = =
Small Road = = = = = = ≠ = = = = =
Cockroach Pig = = = = = = ≠ = = ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPPBBPPBBPBTBPB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP304 (6D Rank-3 at 75% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP304)
78 / 312 Cards

75% penetration depth in 6D (six-deck Mini-Baccarat and Midi-Baccarat North American floors).

Rank-3 Remaining
3 of 24 Cards

21 3-pip cards across all four suits removed from the 6D pack.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5542%

Resolved at 45.8678% Banker win rate under 4% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2805%

Resolved at 44.5873% Player win rate with 0.9379 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5450%

Produces a 14.0951% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP304.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP304

How Three-Pip (Trey) Depletion at 75% Depth Impacts 6D (4% Vig)

Depletion matrix entry DEP304 pairs 6D (312 cards) at 75% penetration with 21 removed Three-Pip (Trey) cards (3 left in 78 cards), fixing per-hand volatility at 0.9379 and Banker house hold at 0.5542% (4% Vig).

Mechanical draw trees in DEP304 reflect how each removed 3-pip card (dep304-rank-3) modifies the boundary between banker (78c) standing on 5 and drawing (dep304-rank-3·78c) against mid-range player pulls. At 75% 6D depth (3 Rank-3 left of 24 in 78 cards, +0.65 bps slope), three-quarters of the shoe (dep304-6d) has been dealt and winning (3/24) banker wagers return 0.96 units (dep304-6d·3/24) net per unit risked.

State DEP304 (6D, 75% depth, 3/24 Rank-3 left, 4% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP304 Value6D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP304 Banker (4% Vig)45.8678% (-0.5542% EV)45.8648%DEP304 6D 75% (3 Rank-3)
DEP304 Player (1:1)44.5873% (-1.2805% EV)44.5903%DEP304 78-card 6D stub (0.9379 SD)
DEP304 Tie (8:1)9.5450% (-14.0951% EV)9.5449%DEP304 Rank-3 (21 out, 3 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP304

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP304 · 6D)

In DEP304, the 78-card 6D stub (75% penetration, 21 of 24 Rank-3 dealt) yields 45.8678% Banker, 44.5873% Player, and 9.5450% Tie outcomes with 0.9379 dispersion under 4% Vig.

  • DEP304 (6D 75%): 78/312 cards with 3/24 Rank-3 (6A).
  • DEP304 (Rank-3 split): 45.8678% Banker, 44.5873% Player, 9.5450% Tie in 78 6D cards (6B).
  • DEP304 (4% Vig EV): -0.5542% Banker, -1.2805% Player, -14.0951% Tie, 0.9379 SD at 75% (6C).
  • DEP304 (6D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 3 Rank-3 stub count (6D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 21 Three-Pip (Trey) cards leave a 6D shoe by 75% depth (DEP304), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-3 stub counts (3/24 in 78 cards); Banker carries a -0.5542% expectation under 4%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android