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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 6D · RANK-3 · 10% DEPTH

6-Deck Three-Pip (Trey) Depletion at 10% Penetration (5% Audit DEP298)

Removing 3 of 24 Three-Pip (Trey) (Rank-3) cards at 10% penetration of a 6-deck (312-card) shoe leaves 21 Rank-3 cards inside a 281-card stub (DEP298), producing 45.8651% Banker wins, 44.5900% Player wins, 9.5449% Ties, and a 1.0182% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0182%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2751%
Rank-3 in 281-Card Stub
21/24
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9314
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P P B B P B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPBTBPPBBPBPBPP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP298 (6D Rank-3 at 10% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP298)
281 / 312 Cards

10% penetration depth in 6D (six-deck Mini-Baccarat and Midi-Baccarat North American floors).

Rank-3 Remaining
21 of 24 Cards

3 3-pip cards across all four suits removed from the 6D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0182%

Resolved at 45.8651% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2751%

Resolved at 44.5900% Player win rate with 0.9314 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5449%

Produces a 14.0958% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP298.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP298

How Three-Pip (Trey) Depletion at 10% Depth Impacts 6D (5% Vig)

Finite-shoe specification DEP298 tracks Rank-3 removal at 10% depth in 6-deck play: with 21 of 24 Three-Pip (Trey) cards left in the 281-card stub, Tie incidence is 9.5449% and Banker expectation settles at -1.0182% (5% Vig).

Each removed 3-pip card (DEP298-Rank-3) modifies the boundary between Banker (281c) standing on 5 and drawing (DEP298-Rank-3·281c) against mid-range Player pulls. Because 3 of 24 Three-Pip (Trey) cards are absent in DEP298 at 10% 6D penetration (281 cards left), per-card sensitivity (+0.65 bps) interacts directly with early-shoe 10% penetration depth (DEP298) under standard 5% Banker commission (Rank-3) (0.95:1 payout).

State DEP298 (6D, 10% depth, 21/24 Rank-3 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP298 Value6D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP298 Banker (5% Vig)45.8651% (-1.0182% EV)45.8648%DEP298 6D 10% (21 Rank-3)
DEP298 Player (1:1)44.5900% (-1.2751% EV)44.5903%DEP298 281-card 6D stub (0.9314 SD)
DEP298 Tie (8:1)9.5449% (-14.0958% EV)9.5449%DEP298 Rank-3 (3 out, 21 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP298

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP298 · 6D)

For DEP298 (281 remaining cards in a 312-card 6D shoe at 10% depth), tracking all 3 exited Rank-3 cards moves Banker win rate to 45.8651% (-1.0182% EV, 5% Vig) and Player to 44.5900% (-1.2751% EV).

  • DEP298 (6D 10%): 281/312 cards with 21/24 Rank-3 (4A).
  • DEP298 (Rank-3 split): 45.8651% Banker, 44.5900% Player, 9.5449% Tie in 281 6D cards (4B).
  • DEP298 (5% Vig EV): -1.0182% Banker, -1.2751% Player, -14.0958% Tie, 0.9314 SD at 10% (4C).
  • DEP298 (6D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 21 Rank-3 stub count (4D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 3 Three-Pip (Trey) cards leave a 6D shoe by 10% depth (DEP298), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-3 stub counts (21/24 in 281 cards); Banker carries a -1.0182% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android