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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 6D · RANK-2 · 70% DEPTH

6-Deck Two-Pip (Deuce) Depletion at 70% Penetration (5% Audit DEP294)

Removing 19 of 24 Two-Pip (Deuce) (Rank-2) cards at 70% penetration of a 6-deck (312-card) shoe leaves 5 Rank-2 cards inside a 94-card stub (DEP294), producing 45.8669% Banker wins, 44.5881% Player wins, 9.5450% Ties, and a 1.0146% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0146%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2788%
Rank-2 in 94-Card Stub
5/24
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9371
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B B P P P B B P B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠
Small Road = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = =

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBBPPPBBPBTBPBPP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP294 (6D Rank-2 at 70% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 2 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP294)
94 / 312 Cards

70% penetration depth in 6D (six-deck Mini-Baccarat and Midi-Baccarat North American floors).

Rank-2 Remaining
5 of 24 Cards

19 2-pip cards across all four suits removed from the 6D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0146%

Resolved at 45.8669% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2788%

Resolved at 44.5881% Player win rate with 0.9371 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5450%

Produces a 14.0952% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP294.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP294

How Two-Pip (Deuce) Depletion at 70% Depth Impacts 6D (5% Vig)

Quantitative proof DEP294 documents 6D rank depletion at 70% depth: 19 exited Rank-2 cards leave 5 of 24 in the 94-card stub, generating 45.8669% Banker wins (-1.0146% EV under 5% Vig) and 44.5881% Player wins.

Combinatorial weighting in DEP294 (94 cards left from 312 at 70% depth) is governed by two rules: on banker total 4, (dep294) banker draws against player third-card (6d-70%) 2 through 7; removing 2s (dep294·6d-70%) trims low-pip player third-card triggers, and with 70% of cards (dep294-6d) dealt and 30% remaining ahead (5/24) of the cut card, winning (dep294-6d·5/24) banker bets pay 0.95 to 1 (+0.52 bps per Rank-2 removed).

State DEP294 (6D, 70% depth, 5/24 Rank-2 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP294 Value6D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP294 Banker (5% Vig)45.8669% (-1.0146% EV)45.8648%DEP294 6D 70% (5 Rank-2)
DEP294 Player (1:1)44.5881% (-1.2788% EV)44.5903%DEP294 94-card 6D stub (0.9371 SD)
DEP294 Tie (8:1)9.5450% (-14.0952% EV)9.5449%DEP294 Rank-2 (19 out, 5 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP294

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP294 · 6D)

Across 100-hand session horizons at state DEP294 (6D 70% depth, 5/24 Rank-2 in 94 cards), single-hand dispersion (0.9371 SD) dominates the 1.0146% (5% Vig) Banker and 1.2788% Player expectation gap.

  • DEP294 (6D 70%): 94/312 cards with 5/24 Rank-2 (5A).
  • DEP294 (Rank-2 split): 45.8669% Banker, 44.5881% Player, 9.5450% Tie in 94 6D cards (5B).
  • DEP294 (5% Vig EV): -1.0146% Banker, -1.2788% Player, -14.0952% Tie, 0.9371 SD at 70% (5C).
  • DEP294 (6D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 5 Rank-2 stub count (5D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 19 Two-Pip (Deuce) cards leave a 6D shoe by 70% depth (DEP294), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-2 stub counts (5/24 in 94 cards); Banker carries a -1.0146% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android