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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 6D · RANK-2 · 10% DEPTH

6-Deck Two-Pip (Deuce) Depletion at 10% Penetration (5% Audit DEP289)

Removing 3 of 24 Two-Pip (Deuce) (Rank-2) cards at 10% penetration of a 6-deck (312-card) shoe leaves 21 Rank-2 cards inside a 281-card stub (DEP289), producing 45.8650% Banker wins, 44.5901% Player wins, 9.5449% Ties, and a 1.0183% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0183%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2750%
Rank-2 in 281-Card Stub
21/24
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9311
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P P B B P B B P B P
Big Eye Boy = = = = = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ =
Small Road = = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = =

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBBPPBPTBPBBPBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP289 (6D Rank-2 at 10% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP289)
281 / 312 Cards

10% penetration depth in 6D (six-deck Mini-Baccarat and Midi-Baccarat North American floors).

Rank-2 Remaining
21 of 24 Cards

3 2-pip cards across all four suits removed from the 6D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0183%

Resolved at 45.8650% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2750%

Resolved at 44.5901% Player win rate with 0.9311 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5449%

Produces a 14.0958% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP289.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP289

How Two-Pip (Deuce) Depletion at 10% Depth Impacts 6D (5% Vig)

Across 89,520,558,110,592,000 initial 6D permutations, depletion node DEP289 narrows to a 281-card stub (10% depth) holding 21 of 24 Rank-2 cards, where Banker resolves at 45.8650% (-1.0183% EV) and Player at 44.5901% (-1.2750% EV).

In 6D audit DEP289 (281/312 stub at 10% depth), depleting 2s shifts the (dep289-rank-2) probability of banker converting a (281c) two-card 4 or 5 into (dep289-rank-2·281c) a winning three-card 6 or 7. Removing 3 Rank-2 cards (+0.52 bps per card) alongside 5% Vig rules sets Tie hold to 14.0958% (9.5449% frequency).

State DEP289 (6D, 10% depth, 21/24 Rank-2 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP289 Value6D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP289 Banker (5% Vig)45.8650% (-1.0183% EV)45.8648%DEP289 6D 10% (21 Rank-2)
DEP289 Player (1:1)44.5901% (-1.2750% EV)44.5903%DEP289 281-card 6D stub (0.9311 SD)
DEP289 Tie (8:1)9.5449% (-14.0958% EV)9.5449%DEP289 Rank-2 (3 out, 21 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP289

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP289 · 6D)

In DEP289, the 281-card 6D stub (10% penetration, 3 of 24 Rank-2 dealt) yields 45.8650% Banker, 44.5901% Player, and 9.5449% Tie outcomes with 0.9311 dispersion under 5% Vig.

  • DEP289 (6D 10%): 281/312 cards with 21/24 Rank-2 (1A).
  • DEP289 (Rank-2 split): 45.8650% Banker, 44.5901% Player, 9.5449% Tie in 281 6D cards (1B).
  • DEP289 (5% Vig EV): -1.0183% Banker, -1.2750% Player, -14.0958% Tie, 0.9311 SD at 10% (1C).
  • DEP289 (6D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 21 Rank-2 stub count (1D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 3 Two-Pip (Deuce) cards leave a 6D shoe by 10% depth (DEP289), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-2 stub counts (21/24 in 281 cards); Banker carries a -1.0183% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android