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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 6D · ACE-1 · 40% DEPTH

6-Deck Ace (1-Point Pip) Depletion at 40% Penetration (4% Audit DEP282)

Removing 11 of 24 Ace (1-Point Pip) (Ace-1) cards at 40% penetration of a 6-deck (312-card) shoe leaves 13 Ace-1 cards inside a 187-card stub (DEP282), producing 45.8657% Banker wins, 44.5894% Player wins, 9.5449% Ties, and a 0.5584% Banker house edge under 4%.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5584%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2762%
Ace-1 in 187-Card Stub
13/24
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9338
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P P B B P B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPBTBPPBBPBPBPP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP282 (6D Ace-1 at 40% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP282)
187 / 312 Cards

40% penetration depth in 6D (six-deck Mini-Baccarat and Midi-Baccarat North American floors).

Ace-1 Remaining
13 of 24 Cards

11 Ace cards valued at 1 modulo-10 point removed from the 6D pack.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5584%

Resolved at 45.8657% Banker win rate under 4% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2762%

Resolved at 44.5894% Player win rate with 0.9338 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5449%

Produces a 14.0957% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP282.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP282

How Ace (1-Point Pip) Depletion at 40% Depth Impacts 6D (4% Vig)

In combinatorial record DEP282, depleting 11 Ace-1 cards across 40% of a 6D (312-card) pack leaves 13 Ace (1-Point Pip) cards among 187 remaining cards, setting Banker win probability to 45.8657% and house edge to 0.5584% (4% Vig).

Tableau audit DEP282 confirms that removing aces slightly favors (dep282) banker because banker stands on (6d-40%) 6 against player third-card ace (dep282·6d-40%) while player must draw on 0–5. Inside the 187-card 6D stub (40% depth, 13/24 Ace-1 remaining, +0.44 bps slope), standard deviation is 0.9338 under 4% Vig.

State DEP282 (6D, 40% depth, 13/24 Ace-1 left, 4% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP282 Value6D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP282 Banker (4% Vig)45.8657% (-0.5584% EV)45.8648%DEP282 6D 40% (13 Ace-1)
DEP282 Player (1:1)44.5894% (-1.2762% EV)44.5903%DEP282 187-card 6D stub (0.9338 SD)
DEP282 Tie (8:1)9.5449% (-14.0957% EV)9.5449%DEP282 Ace-1 (11 out, 13 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP282

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP282 · 6D)

In studio and floor audits of DEP282 (187 cards undealt out of 312 in 6D at 40% depth), a 0.9338 unit standard deviation accompanies the 13-card Ace-1 stub under 4% Vig (45.8657% Banker vs 44.5894% Player).

  • DEP282 (6D 40%): 187/312 cards with 13/24 Ace-1 (1A).
  • DEP282 (Ace-1 split): 45.8657% Banker, 44.5894% Player, 9.5449% Tie in 187 6D cards (1B).
  • DEP282 (4% Vig EV): -0.5584% Banker, -1.2762% Player, -14.0957% Tie, 0.9338 SD at 40% (1C).
  • DEP282 (6D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 13 Ace-1 stub count (1D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 11 Ace (1-Point Pip) cards leave a 6D shoe by 40% depth (DEP282), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Ace-1 stub counts (13/24 in 187 cards); Banker carries a -0.5584% expectation under 4%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android