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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 6D · ACE-1 · 10% DEPTH

6-Deck Ace (1-Point Pip) Depletion at 10% Penetration (5% Audit DEP280)

Removing 3 of 24 Ace (1-Point Pip) (Ace-1) cards at 10% penetration of a 6-deck (312-card) shoe leaves 21 Ace-1 cards inside a 281-card stub (DEP280), producing 45.8650% Banker wins, 44.5901% Player wins, 9.5449% Ties, and a 1.0184% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0184%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2749%
Ace-1 in 281-Card Stub
21/24
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9308
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P B P B P B B P P B B P B
Big Eye Boy = = = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠
Small Road = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPPBPBPBBPPBBPB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP280 (6D Ace-1 at 10% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP280)
281 / 312 Cards

10% penetration depth in 6D (six-deck Mini-Baccarat and Midi-Baccarat North American floors).

Ace-1 Remaining
21 of 24 Cards

3 Ace cards valued at 1 modulo-10 point removed from the 6D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0184%

Resolved at 45.8650% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2749%

Resolved at 44.5901% Player win rate with 0.9308 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5449%

Produces a 14.0959% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP280.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP280

How Ace (1-Point Pip) Depletion at 10% Depth Impacts 6D (5% Vig)

Quantitative proof DEP280 documents 6D rank depletion at 10% depth: 3 exited Ace-1 cards leave 21 of 24 in the 281-card stub, generating 45.8650% Banker wins (-1.0184% EV under 5% Vig) and 44.5901% Player wins.

Tracking DEP280 across 281 remaining 6D cards (10% depth) shows that when fewer aces remain, (dep280-ace-1) player 7 and 8 third-card (281c) transitions from 6 and 7 (dep280-ace-1·281c) occur less often during six-card resolutions. With 3 Ace-1 cards gone (+0.44 bps unit sensitivity), Banker expectation is -1.0184% (5% Vig) vs -1.2749% on Player.

State DEP280 (6D, 10% depth, 21/24 Ace-1 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP280 Value6D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP280 Banker (5% Vig)45.8650% (-1.0184% EV)45.8648%DEP280 6D 10% (21 Ace-1)
DEP280 Player (1:1)44.5901% (-1.2749% EV)44.5903%DEP280 281-card 6D stub (0.9308 SD)
DEP280 Tie (8:1)9.5449% (-14.0959% EV)9.5449%DEP280 Ace-1 (3 out, 21 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP280

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP280 · 6D)

On the electronic scoreboard for DEP280 (6D, 10% depth, 281 cards left), Bead Plate and Big Road circles record Banker (45.8650%) and Player (44.5901%) outcomes, whereas Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig marks reflect column symmetry rather than Ace-1 card counts (21/24).

  • DEP280 (6D 10%): 281/312 cards with 21/24 Ace-1 (5A).
  • DEP280 (Ace-1 split): 45.8650% Banker, 44.5901% Player, 9.5449% Tie in 281 6D cards (5B).
  • DEP280 (5% Vig EV): -1.0184% Banker, -1.2749% Player, -14.0959% Tie, 0.9308 SD at 10% (5C).
  • DEP280 (6D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 21 Ace-1 stub count (5D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 3 Ace (1-Point Pip) cards leave a 6D shoe by 10% depth (DEP280), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Ace-1 stub counts (21/24 in 281 cards); Banker carries a -1.0184% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android