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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 4D · RANK-9 · 85% DEPTH

4-Deck Nine-Pip Card Depletion at 85% Penetration (EZ Baccarat Audit DEP270)

Removing 15 of 16 Nine-Pip Card (Rank-9) cards at 85% penetration of a 4-deck (208-card) shoe leaves 1 Rank-9 cards inside a 31-card stub (DEP270), producing 45.8720% Banker wins, 44.5862% Player wins, 9.5417% Ties, and a 0.9676% Banker house edge under EZ Baccarat.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-0.9676%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2858%
Rank-9 in 31-Card Stub
1/16
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9407
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P P B B P B P P B B P B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ =

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPBPPBBPBPPBBPB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP270 (4D Rank-9 at 85% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 5 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP270)
31 / 208 Cards

85% penetration depth in 4D (four-deck Asian VIP salons and compact automatic shuffler shoes).

Rank-9 Remaining
1 of 16 Cards

15 9-pip cards (top Natural 9 generator) removed from the 4D pack.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-0.9676%

Resolved at 45.8720% Banker win rate under EZ Baccarat settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2858%

Resolved at 44.5862% Player win rate with 0.9407 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5417%

Produces a 14.1243% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP270.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP270

How Nine-Pip Card Depletion at 85% Depth Impacts 4D (EZ Bar-7)

Finite-shoe specification DEP270 tracks Rank-9 removal at 85% depth in 4-deck play: with 1 of 16 Nine-Pip Card cards left in the 31-card stub, Tie incidence is 9.5417% and Banker expectation settles at -0.9676% (EZ Bar-7).

When 15 Rank-9 cards exit a 4D shoe by 85% penetration (DEP270, 1 left in 31 cards), when 9s are depleted (dep270-rank-9) late in the shoe, more (31c) hands bypass four-card natural resolution (dep270-rank-9·31c) and enter the five- and six-card tableau, combining a -0.23 bps rank vector with EZ Baccarat settlement (-0.9676% Banker EV).

State DEP270 (4D, 85% depth, 1/16 Rank-9 left, EZ Bar-7)
Wager / MetricState DEP270 Value4D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP270 Banker (EZ Bar-7)45.8720% (-0.9676% EV)45.8732%DEP270 4D 85% (1 Rank-9)
DEP270 Player (1:1)44.5862% (-1.2858% EV)44.5850%DEP270 31-card 4D stub (0.9407 SD)
DEP270 Tie (8:1)9.5417% (-14.1243% EV)9.5418%DEP270 Rank-9 (15 out, 1 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP270

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP270 · 4D)

Comparing DEP270 (85% 4D depth, 15 Rank-9 removed, 1 remaining in 31 cards) against fresh-shoe baselines shows how finite-stub variance (0.9407 SD) coexists with a 0.9676% EZ Baccarat Banker house edge.

  • DEP270 (4D 85%): 31/208 cards with 1/16 Rank-9 (4A).
  • DEP270 (Rank-9 split): 45.8720% Banker, 44.5862% Player, 9.5417% Tie in 31 4D cards (4B).
  • DEP270 (EZ Bar-7 EV): -0.9676% Banker, -1.2858% Player, -14.1243% Tie, 0.9407 SD at 85% (4C).
  • DEP270 (4D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 1 Rank-9 stub count (4D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 15 Nine-Pip Card cards leave a 4D shoe by 85% depth (DEP270), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-9 stub counts (1/16 in 31 cards); Banker carries a -0.9676% expectation under EZ Baccarat.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android