Skip to main content
Baccarat Smart
  1. Home
  2. Combinatorial Math Hub
  3. 4D Rank-9 Depletion at 60% Depth (EZ Bar-7)
COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 4D · RANK-9 · 60% DEPTH

4-Deck Nine-Pip Card Depletion at 60% Penetration (EZ Baccarat Audit DEP266)

Removing 11 of 16 Nine-Pip Card (Rank-9) cards at 60% penetration of a 4-deck (208-card) shoe leaves 5 Rank-9 cards inside a 83-card stub (DEP266), producing 45.8724% Banker wins, 44.5858% Player wins, 9.5418% Ties, and a 0.9668% Banker house edge under EZ Baccarat.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-0.9668%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2866%
Rank-9 in 83-Card Stub
5/16
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9382
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P P B B P B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPBTBPPBBPBPBPP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP266 (4D Rank-9 at 60% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP266)
83 / 208 Cards

60% penetration depth in 4D (four-deck Asian VIP salons and compact automatic shuffler shoes).

Rank-9 Remaining
5 of 16 Cards

11 9-pip cards (top Natural 9 generator) removed from the 4D pack.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-0.9668%

Resolved at 45.8724% Banker win rate under EZ Baccarat settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2866%

Resolved at 44.5858% Player win rate with 0.9382 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5418%

Produces a 14.1241% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP266.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP266

How Nine-Pip Card Depletion at 60% Depth Impacts 4D (EZ Bar-7)

Quantitative proof DEP266 documents 4D rank depletion at 60% depth: 11 exited Rank-9 cards leave 5 of 16 in the 83-card stub, generating 45.8724% Banker wins (-0.9668% EV under EZ Bar-7) and 44.5858% Player wins.

Under the fixed third-card tableau for DEP266, rank 9 paired with (dep266) any ten or face card (4d-60%) creates an unbeatable two-card natural (dep266·4d-60%) 9 that halts all third-card drawing on both sides. With 5 Rank-9 cards inside 83 remaining 4D cards (60% dealt), single-card slope (-0.23 bps) keeps Banker house edge at 0.9668% and Player at 1.2866%.

State DEP266 (4D, 60% depth, 5/16 Rank-9 left, EZ Bar-7)
Wager / MetricState DEP266 Value4D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP266 Banker (EZ Bar-7)45.8724% (-0.9668% EV)45.8732%DEP266 4D 60% (5 Rank-9)
DEP266 Player (1:1)44.5858% (-1.2866% EV)44.5850%DEP266 83-card 4D stub (0.9382 SD)
DEP266 Tie (8:1)9.5418% (-14.1241% EV)9.5418%DEP266 Rank-9 (11 out, 5 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP266

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP266 · 4D)

In studio and floor audits of DEP266 (83 cards undealt out of 208 in 4D at 60% depth), a 0.9382 unit standard deviation accompanies the 5-card Rank-9 stub under EZ Bar-7 (45.8724% Banker vs 44.5858% Player).

  • DEP266 (4D 60%): 83/208 cards with 5/16 Rank-9 (5A).
  • DEP266 (Rank-9 split): 45.8724% Banker, 44.5858% Player, 9.5418% Tie in 83 4D cards (5B).
  • DEP266 (EZ Bar-7 EV): -0.9668% Banker, -1.2866% Player, -14.1241% Tie, 0.9382 SD at 60% (5C).
  • DEP266 (4D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 5 Rank-9 stub count (5D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 11 Nine-Pip Card cards leave a 4D shoe by 60% depth (DEP266), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-9 stub counts (5/16 in 83 cards); Banker carries a -0.9668% expectation under EZ Baccarat.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android