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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 4D · RANK-9 · 50% DEPTH

4-Deck Nine-Pip Card Depletion at 50% Penetration (Super 6 Audit DEP265)

Removing 9 of 16 Nine-Pip Card (Rank-9) cards at 50% penetration of a 4-deck (208-card) shoe leaves 7 Rank-9 cards inside a 104-card stub (DEP265), producing 45.8726% Banker wins, 44.5856% Player wins, 9.5418% Ties, and a 1.4060% Banker house edge under Super 6.

Banker EV (Super 6)
-1.4060%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2870%
Rank-9 in 104-Card Stub
7/16
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9372
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P P B B P B P B B P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBPTBPPBBPBPBBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP265 (4D Rank-9 at 50% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP265)
104 / 208 Cards

50% penetration depth in 4D (four-deck Asian VIP salons and compact automatic shuffler shoes).

Rank-9 Remaining
7 of 16 Cards

9 9-pip cards (top Natural 9 generator) removed from the 4D pack.

Banker EV (Super 6)
-1.4060%

Resolved at 45.8726% Banker win rate under Super 6 settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2870%

Resolved at 44.5856% Player win rate with 0.9372 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5418%

Produces a 14.1240% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP265.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP265

How Nine-Pip Card Depletion at 50% Depth Impacts 4D (Super 6)

Shoe-stub analysis DEP265 inspects 104 remaining cards at 50% penetration of a 208-card (4D) pack after 9 Nine-Pip Card cards have cleared, leaving 7 Rank-9 cards and a 1.4060% Super 6 Banker edge.

When 9s are depleted (DEP265-Rank-9) late in the shoe, more (104c) hands bypass four-card natural resolution (DEP265-Rank-9·104c) and enter the five- and six-card tableau. Because 9 of 16 Nine-Pip Card cards are absent in DEP265 at 50% 4D penetration (104 cards left), per-card sensitivity (-0.23 bps) interacts directly with mid-shoe 50% penetration depth (DEP265) under Super 6 no-commission rules (Rank-9) (winning Banker 6 pays 0.50:1) (DEP265·Rank-9).

State DEP265 (4D, 50% depth, 7/16 Rank-9 left, Super 6)
Wager / MetricState DEP265 Value4D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP265 Banker (Super 6)45.8726% (-1.4060% EV)45.8732%DEP265 4D 50% (7 Rank-9)
DEP265 Player (1:1)44.5856% (-1.2870% EV)44.5850%DEP265 104-card 4D stub (0.9372 SD)
DEP265 Tie (8:1)9.5418% (-14.1240% EV)9.5418%DEP265 Rank-9 (9 out, 7 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP265

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP265 · 4D)

On the electronic scoreboard for DEP265 (4D, 50% depth, 104 cards left), Bead Plate and Big Road circles record Banker (45.8726%) and Player (44.5856%) outcomes, whereas Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig marks reflect column symmetry rather than Rank-9 card counts (7/16).

  • DEP265 (4D 50%): 104/208 cards with 7/16 Rank-9 (7A).
  • DEP265 (Rank-9 split): 45.8726% Banker, 44.5856% Player, 9.5418% Tie in 104 4D cards (7B).
  • DEP265 (Super 6 EV): -1.4060% Banker, -1.2870% Player, -14.1240% Tie, 0.9372 SD at 50% (7C).
  • DEP265 (4D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 7 Rank-9 stub count (7D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 9 Nine-Pip Card cards leave a 4D shoe by 50% depth (DEP265), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-9 stub counts (7/16 in 104 cards); Banker carries a -1.4060% expectation under Super 6.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android