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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 4D · RANK-8 · 70% DEPTH

4-Deck Eight-Pip Card Depletion at 70% Penetration (5% Audit DEP258)

Removing 13 of 16 Eight-Pip Card (Rank-8) cards at 70% penetration of a 4-deck (208-card) shoe leaves 3 Rank-8 cards inside a 62-card stub (DEP258), producing 45.8711% Banker wins, 44.5871% Player wins, 9.5417% Ties, and a 1.0096% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0096%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2840%
Rank-8 in 62-Card Stub
3/16
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9389
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P B B P P B B P B P B B P
Big Eye Boy = = = = = = ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = =
Small Road = = = = = = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPPBBPPBBPBPBBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP258 (4D Rank-8 at 70% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP258)
62 / 208 Cards

70% penetration depth in 4D (four-deck Asian VIP salons and compact automatic shuffler shoes).

Rank-8 Remaining
3 of 16 Cards

13 8-pip cards (Natural 8 generator and Banker 3 block) removed from the 4D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0096%

Resolved at 45.8711% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2840%

Resolved at 44.5871% Player win rate with 0.9389 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5417%

Produces a 14.1245% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP258.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP258

How Eight-Pip Card Depletion at 70% Depth Impacts 4D (5% Vig)

Under 5% settlement (5% Vig), combinatorial state DEP258 models a 4D carrier with 62 cards left (70% dealt) and 3/16 Eight-Pip Card cards remaining, producing a 1.0096% Banker edge versus 1.2840% on Player.

Combinatorial weighting in DEP258 (62 cards left from 208 at 70% depth) is governed by two rules: on banker total 3, (dep258) banker draws against every player (4d-70%) third card except 8; removing (dep258·4d-70%) 8s eliminates banker 3's sole standing exception, and with 70% of cards (dep258-4d) dealt and 30% remaining ahead (3/16) of the cut card, winning (dep258-4d·3/16) banker bets pay 0.95 to 1 (-0.50 bps per Rank-8 removed).

State DEP258 (4D, 70% depth, 3/16 Rank-8 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP258 Value4D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP258 Banker (5% Vig)45.8711% (-1.0096% EV)45.8732%DEP258 4D 70% (3 Rank-8)
DEP258 Player (1:1)44.5871% (-1.2840% EV)44.5850%DEP258 62-card 4D stub (0.9389 SD)
DEP258 Tie (8:1)9.5417% (-14.1245% EV)9.5418%DEP258 Rank-8 (13 out, 3 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP258

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP258 · 4D)

Whether DEP258 is observed in four-deck Asian VIP salons and compact automatic shuffler shoes at 70% depth (62/208 cards left, 3 Rank-8 remaining), 5% Vig settlement locks Banker EV at -1.0096% and Player EV at -1.2840% with 9.5417% Ties.

  • DEP258 (4D 70%): 62/208 cards with 3/16 Rank-8 (7A).
  • DEP258 (Rank-8 split): 45.8711% Banker, 44.5871% Player, 9.5417% Tie in 62 4D cards (7B).
  • DEP258 (5% Vig EV): -1.0096% Banker, -1.2840% Player, -14.1245% Tie, 0.9389 SD at 70% (7C).
  • DEP258 (4D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 3 Rank-8 stub count (7D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 13 Eight-Pip Card cards leave a 4D shoe by 70% depth (DEP258), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-8 stub counts (3/16 in 62 cards); Banker carries a -1.0096% expectation under 5%.
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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
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