Skip to main content
Baccarat Smart
  1. Home
  2. Combinatorial Math Hub
  3. 4D Rank-7 Depletion at 10% Depth (5% Vig)
COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 4D · RANK-7 · 10% DEPTH

4-Deck Seven-Pip Card Depletion at 10% Penetration (5% Audit DEP244)

Removing 2 of 16 Seven-Pip Card (Rank-7) cards at 10% penetration of a 4-deck (208-card) shoe leaves 14 Rank-7 cards inside a 187-card stub (DEP244), producing 45.8728% Banker wins, 44.5854% Player wins, 9.5418% Ties, and a 1.0062% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0062%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2875%
Rank-7 in 187-Card Stub
14/16
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9326
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P B P P B B P B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPBPBPPBBPBPBPP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP244 (4D Rank-7 at 10% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP244)
187 / 208 Cards

10% penetration depth in 4D (four-deck Asian VIP salons and compact automatic shuffler shoes).

Rank-7 Remaining
14 of 16 Cards

2 7-pip cards (Player stand total and Dragon 7 boundary) removed from the 4D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0062%

Resolved at 45.8728% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2875%

Resolved at 44.5854% Player win rate with 0.9326 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5418%

Produces a 14.1239% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP244.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP244

How Seven-Pip Card Depletion at 10% Depth Impacts 4D (5% Vig)

Under 5% settlement (5% Vig), combinatorial state DEP244 models a 4D carrier with 187 cards left (10% dealt) and 14/16 Seven-Pip Card cards remaining, producing a 1.0062% Banker edge versus 1.2875% on Player.

Tracking DEP244 across 187 remaining 4D cards (10% depth) shows that depleting 7s lowers the (dep244-rank-7) rate of winning three-card banker (187c) 7 hands (the barred push (dep244-rank-7·187c) total on ez baccarat tables). With 2 Rank-7 cards gone (-0.83 bps unit sensitivity), Banker expectation is -1.0062% (5% Vig) vs -1.2875% on Player.

State DEP244 (4D, 10% depth, 14/16 Rank-7 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP244 Value4D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP244 Banker (5% Vig)45.8728% (-1.0062% EV)45.8732%DEP244 4D 10% (14 Rank-7)
DEP244 Player (1:1)44.5854% (-1.2875% EV)44.5850%DEP244 187-card 4D stub (0.9326 SD)
DEP244 Tie (8:1)9.5418% (-14.1239% EV)9.5418%DEP244 Rank-7 (2 out, 14 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP244

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP244 · 4D)

In DEP244, the 187-card 4D stub (10% penetration, 2 of 16 Rank-7 dealt) yields 45.8728% Banker, 44.5854% Player, and 9.5418% Tie outcomes with 0.9326 dispersion under 5% Vig.

  • DEP244 (4D 10%): 187/208 cards with 14/16 Rank-7 (7A).
  • DEP244 (Rank-7 split): 45.8728% Banker, 44.5854% Player, 9.5418% Tie in 187 4D cards (7B).
  • DEP244 (5% Vig EV): -1.0062% Banker, -1.2875% Player, -14.1239% Tie, 0.9326 SD at 10% (7C).
  • DEP244 (4D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 14 Rank-7 stub count (7D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 2 Seven-Pip Card cards leave a 4D shoe by 10% depth (DEP244), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-7 stub counts (14/16 in 187 cards); Banker carries a -1.0062% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android