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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 4D · RANK-6 · 75% DEPTH

4-Deck Six-Pip Card Depletion at 75% Penetration (4% Audit DEP241)

Removing 14 of 16 Six-Pip Card (Rank-6) cards at 75% penetration of a 4-deck (208-card) shoe leaves 2 Rank-6 cards inside a 52-card stub (DEP241), producing 45.8681% Banker wins, 44.5902% Player wins, 9.5417% Ties, and a 0.5569% Banker house edge under 4%.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5569%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2778%
Rank-6 in 52-Card Stub
2/16
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9388
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P P B B P B B P B P
Big Eye Boy = = = = = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ =
Small Road = = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = =

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBBPPBPTBPBBPBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP241 (4D Rank-6 at 75% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP241)
52 / 208 Cards

75% penetration depth in 4D (four-deck Asian VIP salons and compact automatic shuffler shoes).

Rank-6 Remaining
2 of 16 Cards

14 6-pip cards (standing threshold and Banker 6 trigger) removed from the 4D pack.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5569%

Resolved at 45.8681% Banker win rate under 4% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2778%

Resolved at 44.5902% Player win rate with 0.9388 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5417%

Produces a 14.1246% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP241.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP241

How Six-Pip Card Depletion at 75% Depth Impacts 4D (4% Vig)

When a 4D shoe reaches 75% cut-card depth (52 of 208 cards undealt, state DEP241) with 14 Six-Pip Card cards removed and 2 remaining, Player wins 44.5902% (1.2778% edge) while Banker wins 45.8681% (0.5569% edge under 4%).

Under the fixed third-card tableau for DEP241, banker 6 only draws (dep241) when player pulls a third-card (4d-75%) 6 or 7; depleting 6s (dep241·4d-75%) directly alters both banker 6 draws and super 6 settlement frequency. With 2 Rank-6 cards inside 52 remaining 4D cards (75% dealt), single-card slope (-1.13 bps) keeps Banker house edge at 0.5569% and Player at 1.2778%.

State DEP241 (4D, 75% depth, 2/16 Rank-6 left, 4% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP241 Value4D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP241 Banker (4% Vig)45.8681% (-0.5569% EV)45.8732%DEP241 4D 75% (2 Rank-6)
DEP241 Player (1:1)44.5902% (-1.2778% EV)44.5850%DEP241 52-card 4D stub (0.9388 SD)
DEP241 Tie (8:1)9.5417% (-14.1246% EV)9.5418%DEP241 Rank-6 (14 out, 2 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP241

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP241 · 4D)

Cut-card protocol at 75% depth in DEP241 (4D, 52 stub cards containing 2 Rank-6 cards) ensures the shoe reshuffles long before 4% house hold (0.5569% Banker / 1.2778% Player) is overturned.

  • DEP241 (4D 75%): 52/208 cards with 2/16 Rank-6 (6A).
  • DEP241 (Rank-6 split): 45.8681% Banker, 44.5902% Player, 9.5417% Tie in 52 4D cards (6B).
  • DEP241 (4% Vig EV): -0.5569% Banker, -1.2778% Player, -14.1246% Tie, 0.9388 SD at 75% (6C).
  • DEP241 (4D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 2 Rank-6 stub count (6D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 14 Six-Pip Card cards leave a 4D shoe by 75% depth (DEP241), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-6 stub counts (2/16 in 52 cards); Banker carries a -0.5569% expectation under 4%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android