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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 4D · RANK-6 · 25% DEPTH

4-Deck Six-Pip Card Depletion at 25% Penetration (5% Audit DEP236)

Removing 5 of 16 Six-Pip Card (Rank-6) cards at 25% penetration of a 4-deck (208-card) shoe leaves 11 Rank-6 cards inside a 156-card stub (DEP236), producing 45.8718% Banker wins, 44.5864% Player wins, 9.5418% Ties, and a 1.0081% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0081%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2854%
Rank-6 in 156-Card Stub
11/16
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9338
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P P P B B B B P P B B P B
Big Eye Boy = = = ≠ = ≠ = = = = = ≠ = = ≠
Small Road = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPPPPBBBBPPBBPB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP236 (4D Rank-6 at 25% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP236)
156 / 208 Cards

25% penetration depth in 4D (four-deck Asian VIP salons and compact automatic shuffler shoes).

Rank-6 Remaining
11 of 16 Cards

5 6-pip cards (standing threshold and Banker 6 trigger) removed from the 4D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0081%

Resolved at 45.8718% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2854%

Resolved at 44.5864% Player win rate with 0.9338 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5418%

Produces a 14.1240% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP236.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP236

How Six-Pip Card Depletion at 25% Depth Impacts 4D (5% Vig)

Exact conditional enumeration DEP236 for a 4D shoe at 25% depth (156/208 cards undealt) with 11 remaining Rank-6 cards confirms a 1.0081% Banker edge (5% Vig), 1.2854% Player edge, and 14.1240% Tie edge.

Combinatorial weighting in DEP236 (156 cards left from 208 at 25% depth) is governed by two rules: banker 6 only draws (dep236) when player pulls a third-card (4d-25%) 6 or 7; depleting 6s (dep236·4d-25%) directly alters both banker 6 draws and super 6 settlement frequency, and one-quarter of the shoe (dep236-4d) has exited the carrier and (11/16) winning banker wagers pay 0.95 (dep236-4d·11/16) to 1 after 5% house tax (-1.13 bps per Rank-6 removed).

State DEP236 (4D, 25% depth, 11/16 Rank-6 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP236 Value4D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP236 Banker (5% Vig)45.8718% (-1.0081% EV)45.8732%DEP236 4D 25% (11 Rank-6)
DEP236 Player (1:1)44.5864% (-1.2854% EV)44.5850%DEP236 156-card 4D stub (0.9338 SD)
DEP236 Tie (8:1)9.5418% (-14.1240% EV)9.5418%DEP236 Rank-6 (5 out, 11 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP236

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP236 · 4D)

In studio and floor audits of DEP236 (156 cards undealt out of 208 in 4D at 25% depth), a 0.9338 unit standard deviation accompanies the 11-card Rank-6 stub under 5% Vig (45.8718% Banker vs 44.5864% Player).

  • DEP236 (4D 25%): 156/208 cards with 11/16 Rank-6 (2A).
  • DEP236 (Rank-6 split): 45.8718% Banker, 44.5864% Player, 9.5418% Tie in 156 4D cards (2B).
  • DEP236 (5% Vig EV): -1.0081% Banker, -1.2854% Player, -14.1240% Tie, 0.9338 SD at 25% (2C).
  • DEP236 (4D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 11 Rank-6 stub count (2D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 5 Six-Pip Card cards leave a 4D shoe by 25% depth (DEP236), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-6 stub counts (11/16 in 156 cards); Banker carries a -1.0081% expectation under 5%.
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Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android